York Ebor Betting Tips: Lonsdale Cup
The Lonsdale Cup is a group-2 race run over 2-miles at York race course, and forms part of the British Champions Series.
The last 10 runnings have been won by four 4-year-olds, three 5-year-olds and one 6, 7 and 8-year-old. No trainer has trained more than one winner in that time, though Frankie Dettori has ridden 3 of the last 8 winners.
10 runners are set to go to post for this year’s renewal, so here’s our analysis and tip.
Trip To Paris 11/2
The Ascot Gold Cup winner has to concede 4lb to his rivals as a Group-1 winner, but should love this long straight and flat-track after not quite looking fully comfortable at Goodwood. Jockey Graham Lee stays loyal even though another of his regular mounts Clever Cookie is shorter in the betting.
Big Orange 5/1
Given two brilliant front-running rides by Jamie Spencer to win his last two races. Could still be improving, but not sure to get his own way up front this time.
Clever Cookie 4/1
Won his 3rd race at York from 5 attempts here in May, but then tilted at windmills in the King George. Likeable horse who could be still improving, but not sure he warrants being favourite.
Max Dynamite 12/1
Form of his last two runs, second to Quick Jack over hurdles and second to Quest For More off level weights, suggests he won’t be far away. Frankie Dettori rides.
Trainer Luca Cumani was confident he’d run a blinder in the Gold Cup but he didn’t, and it’s worth remembering that Big Orange gave him 3lb and a beating last year.
Not as good as he was, and trainer Willie Mullins has put Franke Dettori on Max Dynamite.
Times Up 50/1
Past winner of this race, but in decline and has failed to trouble the judge for a while.
Vent De Force 12/1
Another who disappointed in the Gold Cup. Won previously at Sandown, but was allowed to set a slow pace from the front.
Hidden Gold 16/1
Transferred some of her decent all-weather form to the turf last time, but shouldn’t be up to troubling the principals here.
Lonsdale Cup Tip
Big Orange and Vent De Force will hopefully take each other which will guarantee a decent pace, one that will suit Trip To Paris whom should have the best finishing kick. He’s also part of the most-winning age-group, and Graham Lee keeps the faith over usual ride Clever Cookie – which is good enough for me at an each-way price.
Trip to Paris each-way @ 11/2 (BetVictor, Coral, Ladbrokes) 1/5 odds 3 places