York Ebor 2019 – Nunthorpe Stakes Trends & Preview

York Ebor 2019 – Nunthorpe Stakes Trends & Preview

August 22, 2019

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The Nunthorpe Stakes (Friday 23 August, 3.35pm) is the Group 1 highlight of the third day of the 2019 Ebor Festival at York Racecourse. The race is open to horses aged two and older and is run over 5 furlongs. It was established in 1922 and popular recent winners have included Sole Power, Mecca’s Angel, and Marsha.
Check out 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the Nunthorpe Stakes 2019.

Nunthorpe Stakes 10-Year-Trends

Age hasn’t mattered in the Nunthorpe Stakes in the last decade, with four 7-year-olds winning. Three 4-year-olds, two 3-year-olds, and one 5-year-old have also been successful.

Borderlescott won from stall-2 in 2009, but since then all nine winners have been drawn between stall-seven and stall-eleven. Fillies and mares also have a terrific recent record in the Nunthorpe, winning six of the last eight editions.

Only three winners had won their previous race but eight of the 10 winners had finished in the first four on their last run. The shortest gap between races was 14 days and the longest is 66 days.

The Nunthorpe has produced more than its fair share of shocks, with winners being returned at 20/1, 40/1, 40/1 and 100/1 in the last 10 years. The other six winners were returned at 11/4, 7/2, 9/2, 15/2, 8/1, and 9/1.

Trainer Michael Dods has trained two winners and one runner-up in the last four years.

Nunthorpe Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019

Battaash

Charlie Hills’ 5-year-old is one of the best sprinters of recent years at his best but his last two seasons have striking similarities. He’s proven he’s very good at Haydock and Goodwood, whilst he’s been beaten twice at Royal Ascot by the classy and now retired Blue Point. However, despite putting up some great performances, he’s probably put up his worst performances in this race in both of the last two campaigns, finishing fourth. He’s respected but stall-one isn’t ideal either.

Copper Knight

The Nunthorpe has witnessed many big-priced winners but victory for Tim Easterby’s 5-year-old handicapper would be one of the biggest. He has won four of his nine starts over the course and distance but is rated 17lb below Battaash and he was getting 3lb from him when 6¾ lengths behind him at Goodwood last time.

El Astronaute

Dual course winner in handicaps and he’s also won a Listed Race this season. However, he was another that was easily beaten by Battaash at Goodwood last time in receipt of 3lb. Decent looking draw in stall-9

Ornate

Winner of a variety of handicaps and conditions races and he’s been more like his old self this year after a spell in the doldrums. He finished in front of El Astronaute and Copper Knight at Goodwood but still has over 3-lengths to make up with Battaash and is 3lb worse off.

Garrus

Likeable 3-year-old that won a Listed race over course and distance in May but has been beaten in Group two and Group three races in Ireland since. He’s entitled to still be improving but he takes on some hardened sprinters here.

Rumbinthejungle

His draw in stall-10 is probably his best feature as he has 19lb to find with Battaash on ratings. He did run okay to be fourth to him at Goodwood last time but Goodwood was the course where he ran his other best race.

Soldier’s Call

Consistent 3-year-old who often places, as he did when running Garrus to half-a-length over course and distance in May. Bettered that when third at Royal Ascot, one place behind Battaash, but he never looked like winning that day.

Ten Sovereigns

Looked a sprinter out of the top-drawer as a 2-year-old but connections couldn’t resist trying to win the 2,000 Guineas with him. That may have affected him when he finished fourth at Royal Ascot but he was punted off the boards before winning the July Cup. He’s not proven on a track this fast, but apparently clocks breath-taking sectionals at home, and he looks to have a decent draw in stall-11.

Intense Romance

Mare trained by Michael Dods but she’s rated just 102 and has been below her best in two Listed races this season. Looks the stable’s second-string.

Mab’s Cross

Agonisingly beaten a nose in last year’s edition and Michael Dods has said this race and the L’Abbaye (which she won last year) are her two main targets. She’s finished behind Battaash twice this year, but beat him here and in Paris, and she should enjoy the fact there are plenty of pacey front-runners in the line-up.

Fairyland

Ran a creditable third in the July Cup behind stablemate Ten Sovereigns but she was beaten by three of today’s rivals when only fifth at Royal Ascot over five furlongs. The suspicion is she’d prefer further and stall-two may not be ideal.

So Perfect

3-year-old filly that was obviously a highly-touted yearling to be called what she is. Well-beaten at Royal Ascot and in the July Cup, but needs the drop to 5-furlongs to spark some improvement.

Nunthorpe Stakes Summary 2019

The history of the Nunthorpe Stakes is littered with shock winners but it will be disappointing if one of the proven Group 1 winners Battaash, Ten Sovereigns or Mab’s Cross can’t win this year’s edition.

Battaash looks the one that the bookies are going to want to take on, as he’s yet to produce his best form at York and he could have a troublesome draw in stall-one.

The bookies are less likely to want to take on Ten Sovereigns, after getting their fingers burned in The July Cup, but he has plenty to prove at 5-furlongs after looking to outstay his rivals in the July Cup.

Battaash and Ten Sovereigns also both like to race up with the pace and, with the speedy Ornate also liking to blaze a trail, this should be set up nicely for a closer. With fillies and mares winning six of the last eight editions, Mab’s Cross looks an each-way steal.

Free Tip For The 2019 York Ebor, Nunthorpe Stakes
Mab’s Cross (Each-Way) @ 6.00 William Hill, Bet365, Skybet

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