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York Ebor 2019 - Acomb Stakes Trends & Preview Betting Gods
York Ebor 2019 – Acomb Stakes Trends & Preview

York Ebor 2019 – Acomb Stakes Trends & Preview

Published on 20/08/19

The Group 3 Acomb Stakes (Wednesday 21 August, 2.25pm) is one of the main races on the first day the 2019 Ebor Meeting at York. The race is for 2-year-olds and is run over 7-furlongs. It was established in 1986 and has been won in recent years by high-class horses such as Dutch Connection and Phoenix Of Spain.

Check out 10-Year-Trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tips for the Acomb Stakes 2019.

Acomb Stakes 10-Year-Trends

Nine of the last 10 winners of the Acomb Stakes had won their previous race, whilst the other one finished second on its previous start. Four winners had won their only race, whilst three had won their second starts, and two had won their third starts. No winners had run more than four times.

Seven winners were drawn between stall-six and stall-nine, with the other three drawn in either stall-two or stall-three. All 10 winners had run between 18 and 41 days prior to winning the Acomb Stakes.

Charlie Hills and William Haggas have both trained two winners in the last decade, whilst Jamie Spencer and James Doyle have both ridden two winners. Six of the last 10 winners were returned at 9/2 or lower, but four of the last six winners were returned at double-figure odds.

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Acomb Stake Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019

Cobra Eye

Frankie Dettori was on board when John Quinn’s son of Kodiac won at Glorious Goodwood and he keeps the ride, with the second Fuwayrit having won since. However, Fuwayrit’s win was only in a class 5 race. It’s also worth noting that the horse that beat Cobra Eye first time out had been well-beaten on his debut.

Ethic

William Haggas has a good record in the Acomb Stakes, having won it twice in the last 10 years, though neither winner proved particularly good later on. This son of Dark Angel won at the second time of asking, but that was only a class 4 race, and the runner-up was beaten much further next time when sent-off as favourite.

Harpocrates

Aidan O’Brien’s son of Invincible Spirit has plenty of experience having had six runs already, but that’s two more than any of the last 10 winners. He has run behind some useful types in Siskin and Pinutabo but he was also beaten by the re-opposing Vitalogy three starts ago. His trainer Aidan O’Brien also hasn’t won this race since 2000, so he could simply be being used to gauge the form of this race with the future in mind.

Kingbrook

A son of top-miler Kingman but he has a long way to go to match his sire. He won on his second attempt, having looked green on debut, and he and the runner-up came 5-lengths clear. However, the second had been beaten 4-lengths on his debut, so the form may not be that strong. Trainer Mark Johnston last won the Acomb Stakes in 2004.

Morisco

Sent-off at 50/1 on his racecourse debut and made little impression. However, he was just 6/1 when winning his second race and the runner-up won next time out. That form doesn’t look strong though and this is a big step-up in class.

Persuasion

Sent-off at 16/1 at Glorious Goodwood, which suggested he wasn’t particularly fancied. However, after starting slowly and meeting trouble in running on more than one occasion, he ran out a half-a-length winner. However, the runner-up had been beaten 11½ lengths on debut, so he probably owes his position at the head of the market to the fact he’s trained by Charlie Hills, who saddled this year’s Irish 2,000 Guineas winner to win the 2018 Acomb Stakes.

Ropey Guest

Has run five times without success, not impressing at Nottingham, Yarmouth or Newmarket. However, he has twice run well at Ascot. It’s Hard to be enthusiastic about his chances on this very different track.

Valdermoro

The form of his debut win was boosted when the winner won again next time out, but he was duly put in his place when well-beaten by Pinutabo at Glorious Goodwood. He also impressed when winning comfortably next time out and the runner-up was beaten by a much shorter distance next time. It’s also interesting that his sire Declaration of War also won a Juddmonte International at York.

Vitalogy

Won on debut at 25/1, getting the better of the re-opposing Hapocrates who finished third. The second horse that day has won since and he looks the best of the two Irish challengers. A market move would be interesting considering he was a big price on debut.

Yorkshire Gold

Stayed on powerfully on debut to win in heavy ground over 6-furlongs but the runner-up had been well-beaten since. However, it’s interesting that his sire Muhaarar won a Gimcrack here before becoming the champion sprinter as 3-year-old. It’s also interesting that his trainer Kevin Ryan, whose won two Acomb Stakes since 2005, runs this fellow even though he trains a horse called Treble Treble that beat Cobra Eye earlier in the season.

Acomb Stakes Summary 2019

Hapocrates and Ropey Guest have had more runs than any of the last 10 years, whilst horses that don’t look favourably drawn include Persuasion, Morisco, Valdermoro, and Ethic.

Trainer Mark Johnston hasn’t won the Acomb Stakes since 2004, which adds weight to the idea that Kingbrook isn’t his best 2-year-old. Vitalogy looks the best of the Irish contingent but, surely, he wouldn’t have been allowed to go off at 25/1 on debut if he had shown much at home.

Cobra Eye is interesting, as Frankie Dettori maintains the partnership after winning on him when he landed a gamble at Goodwood last time. He could also be suited by the step up in trip and could go close.

However, it’s more interesting that local trainer Kevin Ryan saddled the horse that beat Cobra Eye earlier this season and he must think that the aptly named Yorkshire Gold is capable of at least bettering that form.

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Yorkshire Gold @ 10.00 Betvictor, Ladbrokes, William Hill
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