Published on 04/07/16
Novak Djokovic’s surprise third-round exit from Wimbledon 2016 has blown the top-half of the draw wide-open, and the matches in the round-of-16 look well worth taking a look at.
Tomic vs Pouille
The two youngsters have yet to meet each other, but Tomic definitely arrived at Wimbledon in the better form having made the semi-finals at Queens. Meanwhile, Pouille made early exits at both Halle and Stuttgart, and may not be suited to grass quite as much as Tomic.
Tomic win @ 7/17
Goffin vs Raonic
The score stands at 2-1 to Raonic, though Goffin was forced to withdraw in their first meeting when a set down. Both their best of-3-sets matches have gone to 3-sets, and this may not be as straight forward as odds of 1/5 imply for Raonic. However, he is fancied to win, and the 14/5 for him to win 3-1 looks the value.
Raonic 3-1 @ 14/5
Cilic vs Nishikori
Nishikori leads their encounters 7-3 and has won 5 of the last 6 and, though they’ve never met on grass, and he’s probably the worthy favourite.
Nishikori @ 7/9
Murray vs Kyrgios
Kyrgios is improving all the time, though it’s a shame that his manners aren’t, and he’s bound to try and get to Murray anyway he can. Hopefully he won’t though, and Murray has beaten him all four times they’ve played, though never on grass. Murray has also lost just once in his last 19 matches, to Djokovic, whilst Kyrgios has been beaten by Nadal, Raonic and Gasquet in his last 3 tournaments. I’d like to see Murray beat the moody Kyrgios 3-0, but the Aussie may well be value to win a set.
Murray to win 3-1 @ 11/4
Federer vs Johnson
Federer can sniff a last chance at history now Djokovic is out, and he may well be able to muster some of his best form from somewhere. Johnson is a on a hot-streak though having won at Nottingham, and could well give him a tough test, but Federer should still win comfortably even if he’s only 90% fit.
Federer 3-0 @ 11/10
Querrey vs Mahut
It’s easy to think that the man who just knocked Novak Djokovic out of the tournament should have no problem beating the world number 51, but he’s not managed to beat him on either occasion they’ve played before, one of which was on grass. Mahut also won in Hertogenbosch, and was unlucky to draw Andy Murray early at Queens, and can bring up the hat-trick.
Mahut @ 8/11
Tsonga vs Gasquet
It’s 4-4 between the two French players and, though Tsongo has won the last two, you have to think that Tsonga’s mammoth 5-setter against Isner will have left its mark with no rest day in between that match and this. Gasquet has also been in excellent form, and won their only match on grass.
Gasquet @ 10/11