Who’ll Make The Best Start In The Premier League?
Published on 13/07/16
Euro 2016 has come and gone, but the good news is it’s only a month away from the start of the 2016/17 Premier League Season.
Discussions on who will win the title are already becoming heated debates, but the bookies have priced-up the market with Manchester City as favourites from their derby rivals Manchester United. Arsenal and Chelsea are jostling for third favouritism, whilst Liverpool and Spurs will both miss out on the Champions League if the odds are to be believed, and last year’s Champions Leicester are only booked for seventh.
You may already have nailed your colours to the mast, but there’s more than just one way to make money from football, and being able to judge how the early matches will go is a great opportunity to make money by backing and laying on the exchanges. Therefore, we thought we’d take a look at the fixture list to try and work out which of the leading protagonists have an easy start.
City could get off to a flyer as there first two games are against Stoke and Sunderland, but West Ham and Manchester United quickly follow. However, if they take valuable points from those two games, they will be licking their lips with their next matches being against Bournemouth and Swansea.
United really should get off to a better start than last season, and matches against Bournemouth, Southampton and Hull give them every chance to do that. Their also have home advantage in their fourth match against City, and Watford after that could be another win.
Back @ 4.7
Opening matches against Liverpool and Leicester mean the Gunners have the hardest start on paper, but they have some possible respite after that with matches against Watford, Southampton and Hull, but Chelsea quickly follows those.
Lay @ 7.4
Chelsea are the only one of the big-7 not to play another big-7 rival in their opening four games, and matches against West Ham, Watford, Burnley and Swansea mean that Chelsea shouldn’t leave the title behind early like they did last year. If you back them early though, you may want to sell after four games as Liverpool and Arsenal come next.
Back @ 7.2
Spurs made rapid improvement last year, and if their squad haven’t got a Euro 2016 hangover, they could make hay early in their bid to go one better, with games against Everton, Crystal Palace, Liverpool, Stoke, Sunderland, and Middlesborough.
Back @ 10.5
Liverpool have got the start nobody wanted, and facing Arsenal, Spurs, Leicester and Chelsea in their first 5 games is a seriously tough ask.
Lay @ 10.5
30/1 looks a big-price for a team who won the Premier League by 10 points last season, but Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United will have to be conquered in their first six games for those odds to come down. However, if they start like last year, don’t expect those odds to last long.
Back @ 30.0
Premier League Betting Summary
City look about the right price with a decent start possible, whilst Manchester United look slightly on the big side with a relatively easy start, and home advantage in their match with City. Meanwhile, Arsenal look too short with their tough start, as do Liverpool. However, it’s easy to see both Chelsea’s and Spurs’s odds contracting after the opening few games, whilst Leicester just look too big; and their price looks the one that could contract the most with a good start.