In our continued quest to crack the Premier League from a betting perspective, it’s time to take a look at the Top Goal-Scorer market, and the players in contention to be the 2016/17 Premier League Golden Boot winner.
Sergio Aguero 7/2
It’s no surprise that the Manchester City striker heads the market, as he was third in 2011/12, joint-fourth in 2013/14, the winner in 2014/15, and joint-second last season. He should get plenty if chances with attack-minded manager Pep Guardiola now steering the ship, and he’s scored 23/12/17/26/24 Premier League goals in the last 5 seasons.
Harry Kane 7/1
Last year’s winner with 25 goals, was also runner-up the previous season with 21 goals, and he should continue to get plenty of service from his talented Spurs team-mates. Has a solid each-way look if he isn’t suffering from Euro 2016 depression.
The Swede might be getting on a bit, but he just loves to score goals. This will be his first Premier League season, but he has a wealth of experience, and a proven goal-scoring record having scored 113 goals at PSG in the last four seasons, accruing his biggest haul of 38 last season.
The big Belgian continues to improve and, with Everton fancied to better last season’s performances, he could well better last season’s 18 goals. He scored over 30% of Everton’s goals last season, and his new manager’s tactics may well play to his strengths. Finished fourth last season to snatch some each-way money.
Vardy was a 500/1 shot in last season’s market, but belied those odds to finish second with 24 goals. Much will depend whether Leicester can play as well as last season, but the general feeling is surely they can’t.
The Spaniard looked sure to win the race in 2014/15 after a scintillating start to the season, but injury put paid to his chances, though he still finished third with 20 goals. Never looked at the races last season when Chelsea played with a general apathy, but he could bounce back.
Arsenal’s Chilean hitman could yet better the 16 and 13 goals he has scored in the last two seasons, but he’ll have to avoid the cold spells he’s been prone to so far.
The Frenchman notches his fair share with 14 and 16 goals in the last two seasons, but his lack of genuine pace means he is somewhat one-dimensional.
Probably England’s most natural goal-scorer, many will see him as too injury prone to risk their money on. However, he was second in 2013/14 with 21 goals, and will surely score at least that many if he stays injury free. Scored 13 in 25 matches in all competitions last season.
Marcus Rashford 50/1
The whole of England is still bewildered why the talented youngster was only given 5 minutes to try and resurrect England’s Euro 2016 dream. However, there’s a feeling that new Manager Mourinho may well use him sparingly after the arrival of Ibrahimovic.
2016/17 Premier League Top Goal-Scorer Tip
This season’s top goal-scorer market is a fascinating affair, and it’s impossible to rule out any of the 10 players we’ve mentioned. However, I’m happy to nail my each-way colours to Lukaka and Ibrahimovic.
Lukaku @ 12/1 (Betfair Sportsbook) ¼ odds 5 places
Ibrahimovic @ 10/1 (Betfred, Betway, Betbright) ¼ odds 4 places