Just 3 points separate the top-5 teams in the Premier League after 8 games and, after a predictable start, results are becoming more and more unpredictable. However, we’ve been keeping our heads above water with some value-picks, and we’re hoping for more of the same with tips for Hull vs Stoke, Leicester vs Crystal Palace, Liverpool vs West Brom, and Chelsea vs Manchester United.
Hull Vs Stoke (Saturday 3pm)
The last 2 renewals of this fixture produced a 1-1 draw and a 0-0 draw, with the last 5 games between them all resulting in 2 goals or less being scored. Hull have also mustered just one goal in their last 3 home games (be them against top-half opposition), whilst Stoke have scored just 2 goals in their last 3 away games. It’s hard to be confident about what the overall results will be, but the statistics make the 5/6 for there to be less than 2.5 goals very compelling.
Less Than 2.5 Goals @ 5/6 (188 Bet)
Leicester vs Stoke (Saturday 3pm)
The most noticeable statistic of the last 4 meetings between the two teams is that at least one team failed to find the net in each match. That’s also been the case in 3 of the 4 matches Leicester have played at home in the Premier League this season, whilst Palace have failed to score in half of their away matches so far. It’s 6/5 that both teams fail to score again, and that looks fair value.
Both Teams Not To Score @ 6/5 (Marathon Bet)
Liverpool vs West Brom (Saturday 5.30pm)
Liverpool are red-hot favourites to beat West Brom, and it’s easy to see why as they’ve beaten Hull 5-1 and Leicester 4-1 at home this season. However, Manchester United showed what’s possible last week if you decide to shut-up shop in front of the Kop. West Brom are also the draw masters of the Premier League having drawn 4 of their 8 games so far. Add in the fact that they’ve also drawn 4 of their last 5 matches against Liverpool – and the 53/10 for a draw looks almost insulting.
Draw @ 53/10 (Unibet, 888)
Chelsea vs Manchester United (Sunday 4pm)
It looked like both teams were certainties to be title challengers after winning their first 3 games, but both have looked woefully inconsistent since. However, Mourinho definitely won’t want to come away with nothing against his old club, and he may well revert to the defensive tactics that earned United a point at Liverpool last time. Recent games between the two clubs also have a history of being low-scoring affairs, with 6 of the last 7 producing 2 goals or less, and the 11/12 to make it 7 out of 8 makes the most appeal.
Less Than 2.5 goals @ 11/12 (Marathon Bet)
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