Just one point separates the top four teams in the Premier League but, whilst Arsenal face a potentially difficult home derby against Spurs on Sunday, Manchester City and Chelsea are fancied to land long odds-on on Saturday to maintain their title challenges. Meanwhile, Liverpool should also bag 3 points at home to Watford on Sunday. We’ve tips for West Ham vs Stoke, Arsenal vs Spurs, and Swansea vs Manchester United.
West Ham vs Stoke (Saturday 3pm)
Both teams made an unsatisfactory start to the season, but have pulled themselves out of the relegation zone after 10 matches. West Ham’s home form still leaves a lot to be desired though, with a 1-0 win against Sunderland hardly proving they’ve hit the heady heights of last season. Meanwhile, Stoke are unbeaten in 5 games, and were good enough to take a point at Old Trafford before beating Hull, Sunderland and Swansea. Stoke are fancied to get something out of this match and, with 3 of the last 4 matches between them being a draw, and 3 of the last 4 renewals of this fixture being a draw – a draw has to be the value bet at 13/5.
Draw @ 13/5 (Various Bookies)
Arsenal vs Spurs (Sunday 12pm)
Arsenal handed-out two 5-2 thrashings three and four seasons ago, but matches between the bitter London rivals have been much closer since, with both matches last season resulting in draws. Both teams’ busy schedules also seem to have been catching up with them recently, with Arsenal failing to beat Middlesbrough in their last home match, and Spurs drawing 3 of their last 4 Premier League games – all of which makes the draw again look the value bet.
Draw @ 34/13 (Marathon Bet)
Swansea vs Manchester United (Sunday 3pm)
Neither team are currently playing well, but Swansea must take great confidence from their recent form against their opponents. They may have lost their last match at Old Trafford 2-1, but they won last season’s home fixture by the same score, and did the double over United in 2014/15 – making 5/1 for them to win at home look insulting. However, an even bigger statistic is that 6 of the last 8 matches between the two teams have ended 2-1.
Swansea to win @ 5/1 (Bet365, Paddy Power)
Swansea to win 2-1 @ 18/1 (Bet365)
Manchester United to win 2-1 @ 8/1 (Bet365)