York Racing Tips: Yorkshire Oaks
This 12-furlong group 1 is for 3-year-old fillies and older, and often brings together the best of the classic and older generations. In the last decade it has been won by five 4-year-olds and five 3-year-olds, with Aidan O’Brien (3) and Jim Bolger (1) being the only winning trainers in that time that are represented this year. Kevin Manning is the only jockey riding to have won it in the last 10 years.
There are 11 runners set to go to post, and here’s our analysis and tip.
Showed she handled cut in the ground when second to Lady Tiana in the Lancashire Oaks, but even that form leaves her a lot to find against a classy looking bunch of 3-year-olds.
Miss Marjurie 25/1
Improved out of all recognition as a 5-year-old, and showed she handled cut when winning a group-3 earlier this season, with Lady Tiana behind. Might outrun her odds, but will probably find at least a couple too good.
Covert Love 3/1
Made tremendous strides this season having won an all-weather maiden, a York handicap off a mark of 83, a Listed race, and then the Irish Oaks (good to soft ground). Easy to see why she’s favourite and, if she improves again, she could win easily. Prominent running style is also ideal for York.
Crystal Zvezda 12/1
Went off second favourite for the Oaks on the back of a scintillating win in a Newbury Listed race, but looked temperamental there and then again here when second in a listed race. Could yet be good, though the emphasis on stamina isn’t guaranteed to suit.
Royal Ascot winner who would prefer quicker ground. Beaten 2-lengths by Covert Love in the Irish Oaks, and no obvious reason why she should turn the form around.
Aidan O’Brien trained runner but her overall form leaves with a lot to find.
Jack Naylor 7/1
Pushed Covert Love closest in the Irish Oaks, and could take advantage if the favourite runs under par.
Lady of Dubai 8/1
Third in the Oaks, but disappointed when only 6th in the Nassau. Interesting if she handles the cut in the ground after being well-backed on all starts.
Completely unexposed Aidan O’Brien horse who won her maiden on soft ground, though arguably best form is on faster ground.
Irish 1,000 Guineas winner, but has been beaten over longer trips the last twice. Not completely ruled out though.
Sea Calisi 10/1
Group 2 winning French filly is a possible spanner in the works, but the English fillies’ form has a stronger all-round look to it this season.
Sometimes you can try too hard to get a favourite beat, and Covert Love has the form to win, and could still improve further after just 5 runs.
Covert Love @ 3/1 (Various)
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