Royal Ascot 2019 King’s Stand Stakes Analysis
The first day of Royal Ascot (Tuesday 18 June) features three Group 1 Races but, if want to see the fastest horses on the planet do battle in Berkshire, then the King’s Stands Stakes (3.40pm) is the race to watch.
Formerly known as the Queen’s Stand Plate, it was renamed the King’s Stand Stakes in 1901 when Queen Victoria became the reigning monarch. It takes place over five-furlongs and is open to horses aged three and older.
Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide and free tip for the 2019 King’s Stands Stakes.
King’s Stand Stakes 10-Year-Trends
Between 2009 and 2015, the King’s Stand Stakes was dominated by five, six, and seven-year-olds, but the last three editions have been won by one three-year-old and two four-year-olds. The draw has had no particular bias, with horses drawn as low as stall-two and as high as stall-18. However, in the two years the word soft appeared in the going description, the winners were drawn in stalls seven and eight.
Most winners have come into the race on the back of a decent prep run, with five having won their previous race, two finishing second, and one finishing fourth. The other two winners finished seventh and ninth in their prep runs. Gaps between prep races and winning this race have been as small as nine days and as big as 101 days.
There have been five English-trained winners, two Irish-trained winners, and three winners trained overseas in the last decade, with Sole Power being the only horse to win the race twice in that period. Winners have been returned at odds ranging from 11/4 to 20/1, but only two winners were bigger than 8/1.
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King’s Stand Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
The top-rated horse on a mark of 123 and, though he has two ways of running, he looked back to something like his best when winning the Temple Stakes for a second consecutive year at Haydock on his seasonal debut. The problem with backing him here is he was outstayed by the re-opposing Blue Point last year. It may be that wind surgery and the lack of another trailblazer in the field means he won’t waste as much energy early on this year and he has a favourite’s chance.
Officially rated 3lb lower than Battaash, but he finished in front of him in this race last year and again in the Nunthorpe at York. He also has a fantastic course and was unbeaten in three races in Meydan this year. The big question is whether stall-one is ideal for him, as he’s drawn furthest away from Battaash, having been drawn next to him last year.
Seven-year-old raider from New Zealand who will reportedly run in both Group 1 sprints at the Royal Ascot Meeting. However, his two Group 1 wins in the Telegraph Handicap in New Zealand have been over six-furlongs and he’s likely to be the outsider of the field having struggled in decent races recently.
Four-year-old who is a second runner for Charlie Hills, who also trains Battaash. This one is rated 13lb inferior to his stablemate and he could only finish twelfth in last year’s Commonwealth Cup. He was also beaten by Mab’s Cross last time out, when in receipt of 4lb, and he must concede that rival 3lb here.
Five-year-old American raider that has an excellent record at five-furlongs and also stays a bit further, which is often useful at Ascot. He’s also won on firm ground and on soft ground, so shouldn’t be inconvenienced by the going. He does have 6lb to find on official ratings, but he did give last year’s Diamond Jubilee Stakes winner, Bound To Nowhere, 2lb and a beating last time. Has to prove he runs as well on a straight track as he does around a bend, bit could be the value bet in the race.
107-rated seven-year-old that is normally at his best on firm ground. He shouldn’t be winning this having been beaten by plenty of today’s rivals in last year’s Nunthorpe and he’s normally beaten in group races.
Australian trained horse that has plenty of speed but is normally seen at his bets in Listed handicaps. He can’t be entirely ruled out, but he will probably be one of the outsiders.
Won the Prix de l’Abbaye on her final run of 2018 and has looked better than ever trying to concede a Group 1 penalty this year. She doesn’t have to concede that penalty in this race and she could easily bustle up Battaash and Blue Point having finished third behind those two rivals in last year’s King’s Stand Stakes and having finished ahead of them in the Nunthorpe. Drawn further away than ideal from Battaash in stall-four.
Third in last year’s Coventry Stakes but has proved best at five-furlongs since. Could only finish fourth behind Mab’s Cross earlier this season and worse off at the weights this time. Chances hinge on him being suited by a fast pace.
Group 2 winner as a two-year-old but beaten in a Listed Race last time. Has something to find.
Beaten in the English and Irish 1,000 Guineas so far this season and she takes a big drop in trip here having won her races at six-furlongs as a two-year-old. Not convinced she has the raw speed to win.
Won the Queen Mary at last year’s Royal Ascot meeting but her two runs this year suggest she’s not improved enough to win this.
King’s Stand Stakes Summary 2019
Blue Point, Battaash, and Mab’s Cross finished 1-2-3 and, of the trio, Blue Point’s course form and ability to stay further makes him the logical choice again. Sergei Prokofiev is also capable of producing a winning turn-of-foot if he doesn’t get too far behind early on. However, Imprimis looks the value to become another foreign-trained winner.
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Imprimis (Each-Way) @ 13.00 WilliamHill, Betfred[/su_service]
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