Cocked Hat Stakes 2019 Analysis [Plus FREE Tip]
The Cocked Hat Stakes (Friday 24 May, 3.30) is a Listed Race that takes place at Goodwood over a distance of 1 mile 3 furlongs and 44 yards, and it is open to colts and geldings aged three. It has been run under its current name since 2007, and celebrates a race run in the 1800’s at Goodwood in which all the jockeys had to wear military hats.
Notable winners of the Cocked Hat Stakes include Masked Marvel that went on to win the 2011 St Leger for trainer John Gosden.
Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tips for the 2019 Cocked Hat Stakes.
Cocked Hats Stakes 10-Year-Trends
The last 10 winners of the Cocked Hat Stakes had all run between 11 and 38 days prior to their success in the race.
The last nine winners were returned at odds no bigger than 7/2, whilst the last eight winners were all drawn in stall one, two, three, or four.
John Gosden has trained four of the last 10 winners and Frankie Dettori has ridden two of the last nine winners. Only two of the last 10 winners had won their previous race, with none of John Gosden’s four winners winning their last race before being successful here.
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Cocked Hat Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide
Made a winning debut on the all-weather in December and trainer John Gosden thinks highly enough of him to have run in him the Group 3 Classic Trial at Sandown on only his second run. After a slow start, he looked very green that day in last place but finished the race as strongly as anything without every threatening the leaders. The form looks solid with the second winning the Dante Stakes since and it’s worth remembering that this well-bred colt cost 850,000 guineas. He also looks sure to be suited by a step up in trip and looks well-drawn in stall-3.
Hard horse to weight up as he won his only race in Ireland before running no sort of race on his stable debut on turf for current trainer Ed Walker last season. He did win on his seasonal debut on the all-weather this season but takes a big step up in class here and needs to improve to beat horses with better form in the book.
Roger Varian-trained horse that has bettered his name on both of his runs so far. He finished fourth on debut and then won a class 5 race last time. Like most of the runners, he’s open to plenty of improvement, but it’s not clear-cut as to whether he’s bred to excel at this longer trip, though connections obviously think he will.
Won his only race at two and showed a fair bit of promise when third on his seasonal debut. However, he was last in the Chester Vase last time, in a race where the two horses that finished in front of him on his previous run also didn’t do much to enhance the form. Connections reach for the first-time cheekpieces and they need to bring about some improvement.
Won three-times at seven furlongs and a mile as a two-year-old but he hasn’t seemed particularly suited to a step up in trip this season, and his sire Makfi was a miler. However, connections are stepping him up in distance again here and, though he finished in front of Alfaatik last time, he may not do here.
Won his maiden at the third time of asking on his first run as a three-year-old and followed that up in good style with a win in a handicap. The runner-ups in both of those races have since ran to a similar level of form, and he’s going the right way. He could easily take this on his way to better things but he has a wider than ideal draw in stall seven.
All three of his starts so far have come on the all-weather. He won the second of those over 10-furlongs and was noted running on when dropped back to a mile on his seasonal debut. He’s certainly bred to relish today’s first run on turf over this trip, as his sire Noble Mission was a Group 1 performer over 10 and 12 furlongs, but his stable could be in better form.
Cocked Hat Stakes Summary 2019
Private Secretary is the likely favourite after winning his last two starts, but it’s worth noting that none of John Gosden’s previous four winners of this race had won their previous start. He’s also stepping up in class here, whilst Gosden’s other runner Alfaatik steps down from group 3 company after going in the notebook as a sure-fire winner over a longer trip when running on over 10 furlongs last time. Fifth Position and Spanish Mission are also respected, as they could both improve for their latest experiences and today’s step-up in trip.
However, having been bought for 850,000 Guineas, much was expected of the beautifully bred Alfaatik and, hopefully, he can show that here with plenty of improvement to come.
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Alfaatik @ 8.00 SkyBet, Ladbrokes, WilliamHill[/su_service]
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