2019 Pipalong Stakes Preview [Plus Free Tip]
The Pipalong Stakes (Tuesday 9 July) is a Listed Race run over 1 mile and 6 yards at Pontefract Racecourse. It is named after one of Yorkshire’s most popular fillies. Notable winners have included Red Bloom, with the Sir Michael Stoute trained filly being a Group 1 winner in the early stages of her career.
Check out our trends, runner-by-runner guide and free tip for the Pipalong Stakes 2019.
Pipalong Stakes 10-Year-Trends
The 2012 edition of the Pipalong Stakes was abandoned because of waterlogging, so there are just nine editions to analyse in the last decade. Eight of those were won by four-year-olds, with the other renewal won by a five-year-old. None of those nine winners carried a penalty.
An inside draw is often seen as an advantage at Pontefract, but the draw has had little effect with winners drawn as low as stall-one and as high as stall-nine. The last eight winners had run between four and 54 days earlier, and only one of those won that warm-up race. No trainer has won more than one of the last nine editions, but jockey Ben Curtis has ridden two of the last four winners.
Winners have been as short as odds of 10/11, but four of the last five winners have been returned at double-figure prices.
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Pipalong Stakes 2019 Runner-By-Runner Guide
Carries a 3lb penalty but still comes out best at the weights as she is rated 107. That mark entitles her to plenty of respect in this company, especially as she was once rated 115 after winning the 1,000 Guineas in 2017. She couldn’t win at Group 1 or Group 2 level again that season or this, but she regained the winning habit when dropped to Listed company last time.
Consistent handicapper who won her last two races off marks of 75 and 82, before finishing second off 86 and 87 on her last two starts. That leaves this unpenalized runner with 17lb to find with Billesdon Brook as she steps into Listed Company for the first time.
Bubble And Squeak
91-rated four-year-old trained by Sylvester Kirk, who trained an 11/1 winner of this race in 2015. She won off 86 two starts ago at Ascot but finished last afterwards and has also twice been well-beaten in previous forays into Listed Races. Her outside draw in stall-11 could also prove troublesome.
Five-year-old who was only rated 95 when winning this race last year, in receipt of 7lb from a filly rated 7lb inferior to her. She also beat the re-opposing Pattie by over five-lengths that day on the same terms as today. Her form Rated 99 when second in the Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot and that performance earned her a rating of 103. Proven over course and distance and will surely go close with her stable in form.
Beaten by the re-opposing Threading by seven-lengths by Threading last season and this stiff mile will surely also test the stamina of a filly that has done all her winning over six and seven furlongs.
Looks the first-string of the Richard Fahey yard with Paul Hanagan on board but, whilst this may be too far for Dance Diva, it may not be far enough for this filly who has been racing over 10-furlongs lately.
Never Be Enough
Ran well to be second on her only previous run at Pontefract, but her only two wins have come in class 4 and 5 handicaps. Should live up to her name in this company, as she should have no chance.
New Day Dawn
Entitled to reverse a two-length beating by Agincourt earlier this season with a 10lb pull in the weights but she’s been well-beaten in three previous tries in Listed races.
Ran on to be third in last year’s edition of this race but there’s no reason why she should get any nearer to Clon Coulis this year, especially as that filly was eased down when beating her at Chelmsford earlier this season on 3lb worse terms. Ben Curtis rides for the first time, but she has also been beaten by Billesdon Brook this season.
Group 2 winner as a two-year-old and she also won at this level last season, so she must be of interest for the excellent combination of trainer Mark Johnston and jockey PJ McDonald. The negative is her wins have come on easier tracks like York and Goodwood.
Only win so far came in a maiden in Ireland and she has failed to make much of an impact in Listed Company since. She also finished well behind Billesdon Brook last time and there’s no reason why she should turn that form around.
Joseph O’Brien-trained filly that was beaten in mixed-company last time at this level. Prior to that, she finished between 108 and 100-rated rivals in a fillies Listed Race. Has chances on that form, but the market leaders look slightly better.
Pipalong Stakes 2019 Summary
Eight of the 12 fillies in this line up look outclassed and, though there have been plenty of big-priced winners of this race, it will be a surprise if the winner doesn’t come from Wisdom Mind, Threading, Clon Coulis, and Billesdon Brook.
Wisdom Mind has a few pounds to find with the other three, whilst Treading’s stamina and will to win will be tested on the long climb to the line. That’s why the finish may well be fought out by Clon Coulis and Billesdon Brook.
Clon Coulis beat a penalized runner last year but, as Billesdon Brook won the 1,000 Guineas in 2017, she can win her second Listed Race in succession. She won despite the seven-furlong trip at Chelmsford and should improve again back at a mile. She also looks to have a nice draw in stall-four for a filly that can race close to the pace and is fancied to emulate former Group 1 winner Red Bloom.
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Billesdon Brook @ 4.50 William Hill, BetVictor
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