2019 Johnnie Lewis Memorial Preview [FREE Tip Inside]
The Johnnie Lewis Memorial British EBF Stakes (Thursday 13 June, 3.00) is a Listed Race for fillies aged three and takes place over 10-furlongs at Newbury Racecourse. Its previous name was the Abingdon Stakes, but the race has been run under a variety of titles since its inception in 1988.
The race has been won by several high-profile fillies in the last few years including Great Heavens and Speedy Boarding, whilst the 2018 winner Sea Of Class won a variety of top races before finishing second in the Prix de ‘Arc de Triomphe.
Check out our trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tips for the 2019 Johnnie Lewis Memorial British EBF Stakes.
Johnnie Lewis Memorial British EBF Stakes 10-Year-Trends
The last 10 winners of the Johnnie Lewis Memorial British EBF Stakes had all run between 21 and 34 days prior to winning the race. The draw has had little effect, with winners being berthed as low as stall-one and as high as stall-eight, and only six runners are set to go to post this year.
All 10 winners had finished in the top four last time out, with four of them winning their previous race. John Gosden is the race’s top trainer with three winners in the last seven years, whilst Mick Channon is the only other trainer with a runner that has enjoyed a winner in the last 10 years. Ryan Moore is the top jockey with three wins in the last 10 years.
The shortest-priced winner in the last 10 years is Sea Of Class at 3/10, whilst Mick Channon’s Cruck Realta was the longest-priced winner at 16/1. Eight of the 10 winners were returned at odds of 7/2 or shorter.
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Johnnie Lewis Memorial British EBF Stakes 2019 Runner-By-Runner Guide
Antonia De Vega
Ralph Beckett is a wonderful trainer of fillies and this daughter of Lope De Vega out of a Duke Of Marmalade-sired mare could be ideally suited by 10-furlongs this season. The negatives include that this is her seasonal debut and none of the last 10 winners have won without a prep run. She also finished last in better company on her final start last season, but connections said she finished lame that day.
The big plus point is her two wins were achieved with a sparkling turn-of-foot, and that could be a potent weapon over this trip.
Trainer Roger Varian also hasn’t trained a previous winner of this race, but this daughter of Australia won nicely on her only start as a two-year-old when overcoming a slow start over a mile. But the form of that race hasn’t worked out, with the placed horses well-beaten since, and she herself was well-beaten in another Listed Race over course and distance on her seasonal debut. She could improve for that run, but she’ll need to as she was over three-lengths behind the re-opposing Star Terms that day.
Neither jockey Silvestre De Sousa or trainer Simon Crisford have experienced success in this race before and it will be disappointing if this 84-rated filly can win this after she was beaten off that mark in a handicap at Windsor last time. She was also beaten in Listed company as a two-year-old and both her wins have come in class-five races.
Mick Channon may have trained the longest-priced winner of this race in the last decade, but this filly has only won two class-five races so far in her career and this is a big step-up in class. The second of those wins came on her last start but the handicapper still only rates her 74.
Won twice as two-year-old, with the second of those successes coming in a handicap off a mark of 83, but neither of those performances have been boosted by the placed horses. She’s mainly been highly tried without success in group company since then, but again came up short when only fourth over course and distance last time in a stronger-looking Listed Race. She also faded late on that day and, despite being officially the top-rated filly, she may be susceptible to a filly with more stamina.
Trainer John Gosden has won this race three times in the last seven years and his once-raced daughter of Sea The Stars was an expensive purchase that won well on debut. The second horse was nothing special, but at least boosted the form by winning her maiden next time when officially rated 83. She does have to prove she can handle soft ground as well as she handled good ground last time, but she looks a worthy favourite.
Johnnie Lewis Memorial British EBF Stakes 2019 Summary
It will be a major disappointment if either Lastochka, Mannal, or Patchouli are good enough to win after failing to win at a much lower level in the past. Star Terms sets the standard for the others to aspire to on a mark of 102, but soft ground will test her potentially suspect stamina.
Terebellum has the potential to rank much higher than her rivals after winning her only run so far, she fits the stats, and John Gosden has an excellent recent record in the race. However, she’s likely to be odds-on and that makes Antonia De Vega a value proposition against the favourite. Some of her sire’s progeny have made up into much better three-year-olds and the turn-of-foot she showed at two could easily help her beat the favourite, even if it is her seasonal debut.
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Antonia De Vega @ 4.33 WilliamHill, BetVictor[/su_service]
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