Horse Racing Tips : Bogart Can Take Centre Stage
This Saturday’s racing might not be as good as last week’s but there’s still a decent double-header from Ayr and Newbury as we bring you the best horse racing tips for the weekend.
A host of decent sprint handicappers compete for Ayr’s Gold Cup and Silver Cup, whilst at Newbury some decent 2-year-olds will be trying to win the prestigious Mill Reef Stakes.
Ayr Gold Cup
The Ayr Gold Cup has been dominated in the last few years by trainers Kevin Ryan and David Nicholls who have respectively won three and two of the last seven renewals. Meanwhile, the draw has been made and those drawn high are expected to have an advantage providing the weather stays dry and the ground is good or faster.
Ryan saddles four representatives this year in Hamza, Blaine, Captain Ramius and York Glory, however low draws may have scuppered the chances of Hamza and 2012 winner Captain Ramius, whilst York Glory would be a shock winner after finishing last on his latest outing. Meanwhile, whilst Blaine seems ideally drawn in 26, he usually drops himself out to come with a late run meaning he might need a dream passage up the rail.
Nicholls, on the other hand, saddles only one runner in the shape of Barnet Fair and it looks significant that he has booked fantastic young apprentice Cam Hardie who rode the 6-year-old to victory at Goodwood two starts ago.
A young trainer who also seems to have targeted the race this year is David O’Meara who saddles three runners including ante-post favourite Watchable. However his two other runners, Louis the Pious and Highland Acclaim look better drawn. The former is especially of interest as he was second last year and, whilst he is 6lb higher, he should prefer the quicker ground this year.
Finally, I can’t resist putting a third bullet in the gun in the shape of Richard Fahey’s Supplicant. This race often falls to a horse who returns to form after tumbling down the weights, and he’s 12lb lower than his 2-year-old peak.
Barnet Fair 25/1 each-way
Louis The Pious 28/1 each-way
Supplicant 33/1 each-way
Ayr Silver Cup
Just over an hour earlier than the Ayr Gold Cup, the effect of the draw in the Ayr Silver Cup will be eagerly scrutinised. However, it’s a good race in its own right and one in which I do think Kevin Ryan will have the winner of in the form of Bogart. A draw of 26 is ideal for this front runner, who was second in the Portland last week, and he remains on a mark of 93 which is fully 17lb below his highest mark.
Bogart 14/1 each-way
Mill Reef Stakes
Top-rated favourite Limato looks the right favourite for this Group-2 contest as his two main rivals, Jungle Cat and Baitha Alga, both look to have had hard seasons. He’s also proven on the course, distance and prevailing ground. If you want a bigger-priced bet then try the forecast with Strath Burn who steps up in trip after winning over 5-furlongs here and then finishing runner-up in France.
Limato 7/4 or better
Forecast: Limato to beat Strath Burn