Cambridgeshire Top-10 Picks
The Cambridgeshire is one of the most prestigious flat-handicaps of the season, and the 9-furlong contest is one of the few handicaps over a mile to be run on a straight track.
The last 10 renewals have been won by three 3 year-olds, three 4-year-olds, three 5-year-olds, and one 6-year-old. It’s also perhaps worth noting that all winning 4-year-old and the 6-year-old all carried more than 9-0, whilst all winning 3-year-olds and 5-year-olds have carried 8-12 or less.
There are potentially 35 runners – but we’ll take a look at our top-10 picks.
Bronze Angel 9/1
Marcus Tregoning’s 6-year-old bids for his 3rd win in the race in the last 4 years. His two wins came off marks of 95 and 99, whilst he lost off a mark of 101 in between those two victories (however that was his also his seasonal debut that year). Will have to win off an official mark of 108 this year, and carrying 9-8, whilst he’s only carried 8-8 and 8-13 to victory in the past.
Ideally weighted 3-year-old, but last two performances have come with cut in the ground. William Buick has ridden him to victory before and also rode Bronze Angel to victory in 2012.
GM Hopkins 12/1
Trainer John Gosden bids for a third winner in nine years, and his charge bids to become the second 4-year-old to carry 9-9 to victory in the last 10 years. Proven over course and distance, and still got the potential to improve further.
Earth Drummer 14/1
There’s no better big-target trainer than David O’Meara, but the balance of this one’s form doesn’t suggest he’s particularly well-handicapped.
Third Time Lucky 16/1
Another perfectly weighted 3-year-old who still has plenty of room for improvement after 4 wins in his last 6 races. Trained by the super in-form Richard Fahey, and not dismissed lightly.
Been a talking horse for a long-time, but remains 8lb higher than for last win, and it’s hard to see why he’s suddenly going to find that improvement after plenty of chances.
Hails from the in-form yard of David Simcock, and has a chance on his second to the improving Balty Boys earlier in the season.
Early Morning 25/1
Trainer Harry Dunlop thought he might be a classic contender early in his career, and he’s shown enough improvement recently to suggest this isn’t beyond him.
Won the 2013 renewal off a mark of 104 before finishing 9th off a mark of 110 last year. Started this season well with places behind improving Balty Boys and The Corsican, whilst 3 poor performances have seen his mark fall to 102. Looks to have been plotted to perfection by small trainer.
Most impressive over a straight mile here earlier in the season when he comfortably beat Jacob Black by 2-lengths, powering away at the line. That rival is now rated 9lb higher – and this looks to have been the long-term target for the Godolphin representative.
With Bet365 offering 5 places, I’m backing both Educate and Musaddas, with a place for either guaranteeing a profit.
Educate each-way @ 25/1 (Bet365) ¼ odds 5 places
Musaddas each-way @ 25/1 (Bet365) ¼ odds 5 places