2017 Lincoln Handicap Tips
The Lincoln Handicap (Saturday @ Doncaster 3.35) is the traditional curtain-raiser of the new flat season, and this prestigious race takes place at Doncaster over a straight-mile.
Lincoln Handicap 10-Year-Trends
- The last 10 winners have all been aged 4, 5 or 6
- SPs of the winners varied between 3/1 and 25/1
- 7 of the last 10 winners hadn’t won last time out
- Winners have been spread across the track from stall 1 to 22
- Winners carried between 8-9 and 10-4
- Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 5 winners
- Winners have been rated between 89 and 104
Lincoln Handicap Runner-By-Runner Guide
Battle Of Marathon
Rated 7lb higher than when third last year for trainer who won the race in 2014. Also rated 5lb higher than any winner in the last 10 years.
Usually tried in Listed Race or Group Races, but won the 2015 renewal off an 8lb lower mark. 3lb claimer means he’s weighted just a few pounds higher than the last 3 winners, but older than ideal at 8.
Not disgraced when trying listed and group races recently, but 7lb higher than for his last handicap win.
Third Time Lucky
Won a Cambridgeshire off 95 and also fourth in that race off 100. Proved his wellbeing with a win on the all-weather off 97 two starts ago, and looks likely to go well on this straight-mile with the highly-regarded 7lb claimer Connor Murtagh taking 7lb off.
Not been a prolific winner so far, but only 4lb higher than when winning at Ascot last season. Also been gelded since, and could easily have loads of improvement to come.
Oh This Is Us
Progressive sort who has won his only course start. That was over 7-furlongs, but has won over a mile, and Ryan Moore is in the saddle.
Top Notch Tonto
Rated as high as 113 at his best, and now rated just 105. The booking of a 7lb claimer makes him look seriously well-handicapped, and second on his only previous start at Doncaster.
Ideally weighted if the last 3 winners prove a useful guide, but possibly flattered by how close he got in an averagely-run renewal of the Winter Derby last time, and not sure this test is ideal.
Second in the Spring Mile last season off 97, but now off 100 in a better race, which is 8lb higher than his last win in June 2015.
Need to put up his best performance yet to win this, on recent evidence.
All 3 wins have come at 7-furlongs, and looks a shade too high in the handicap even if he sees out the trip. Course winner.
Best form over further, and 5lb higher than for last win. Will be hoping for a strong pace.
Last won in 2015 off a mark of 97, and a mark of 100 makes him interesting considering he was sixth last year off 105. Was beaten over 5-lengths though.
Potentially well-weighted, but often better for a run, and older than ideal at 7.
Lucy The Painter
Remains 16lb higher than for last win. Tough ask.
Won at Dundalk, and was fourth in the Irish 1,000 Guineas in the early part of last season for Aidan O’Brien. Now in the hands of David O’Meara, who went close with Mondialiste 2-years-ago, and definitely of interest.
Mainly runs at 7-furlongs, and will do well to defy most recent hike in the weights.
12lb higher than for last win, and would ideally prefer the ground to be soft.
Grand old-servant, but asking a lot for him to win this at the age of 9.
Handicapper giving the former John Smith’s Cup Winner a chance off a mark 5lb lower than that success, and he should enjoy being back in a big field. 5lb claimer on board too, but this mile may be on the short-side for him.
Takes a step-up in class, but may well take to this big field, and is still improving as a 4-year-old. Won 3-times over a mile, and stays further, so definitely of interest under Paul Hanagan.
Usually better at 7-furlongs with plenty of cut.
2017 Lincoln Handicap Summary
Lots of these have been plotted-up here, including the likes of Yuften, Donncha, Top Notch Tonto and Oh This Is Us. However, it’s Bravery that catches the eye. A mark of 100 is identical to the last two winners of the race, and there’s every chance that this 4-year-old could thrive in the hands of David O’Meara.
2017 Lincoln Handicap Tip
Bravery – each-way @ 14/1 (BetBright, Ladbrokes, PaddyPower)