The Tipperary Stakes (18:45 Thursday 4 July) is a Listed Race for two-year-olds run over 5-furlongs at Tipperary Racecourse in Ireland. It was established in 2001 and has been won by horses such as Lahinch, Parliament Square, and Land Force.
The race is sponsored by Coolmore Stud and its name normally carries the prefix of one of its stallions. These have included Danehill Dancer and Excelebration, whilst the full name for the 2019 edition is the Coolmore US Navy Flag Tipperary Stakes. Check out our 10-Year-Trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip.
Tipperary Stakes 10-Year-Trends
Favourites have a decent record in the Tipperary Stakes, winning half of the last runnings. The other five winners were returned at odds of 7/2, 7/1, 7/1, 14/1 and 14/1.
The draw has tended to favour horses drawn low, with nine of the 10 winners being drawn in stall-five or lower. Incredibly, five winners have been drawn in stall-five.
Five fillies have carried 8-12 to victory, whilst two colts have carried 9-1, and three have carried 9-3. The only jockey to ride two winners in the last decade is Shane Foley.
Tipperary Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Air Force Jet
Joseph O’Brien is looking for his first win as a trainer in the race with this son of Charm Spirit. He won his maiden at the second attempt but finished last but one at Royal Ascot. However, that may not have been his true running, as the horse he beat in his maiden won a different race at Royal Ascot.
English trainers have plundered this race three times, and Archie Watson’s son of Hot Streak is bred to be a sprinter. He broke his duck at the third attempt and then finished fifth at Royal Ascot behind the horse that Air Force jet had previously beaten.
Strive For Glory
Another English-trained raider and this one is officially rated the top horse in the race by 2lb. He won on debut and was beaten by what looked to be three very useful horses at Royal Ascot. However, he was sent-off at 50/1 that day, a much bigger price than Air Force Jet who was sent-off at 8/1.
The first of four-fillies in this year’s race, but she was beaten four times in Ireland before being well-beaten in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot. She shouldn’t be winning this on that form.
Bred to be a sprinter and she showed plenty of pace before getting caught close home on debut. Won her second start, but the second had been beaten further previously. She also has a bit to find with a few of these through the horse that beat her first time up, who has subsequently finished behind some of today’s rivals at Royal Ascot. However, she’s ridden by Shane Foley.
Won well on her debut but was 40/1 when well-beaten in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, which suggests she shouldn’t be winning this race.
Beaten by Isabeau on her second start and, though she won last time out, the second horse was beaten by 12-lengths further on her previous start. But she is drawn in lucky stall-five.
Tipperary Stakes Verdict 2019
Fillies have a good record in the race but none of the quartet this year have the form in the book to suggest they should be winning. Invincible Diva is probably the pick, and this pacey type could be suited to Tipperary under Shane Foley.
However, this is expected to go to one of the colts. Illusionist is the least fancied of the three, whilst Strive For Glory has the best form. However, it was Air Force Jet that had the best form going into Royal Ascot and he’s given a chance to show that wasn’t his true running.