The Stella Artois 1965 Chase Preview And Tip
The 1965 Chase (14:05 Ascot on Sat 19th Nov) was first established in 2006, and is so named as this was the year that Jumps Racing was incorporated into Ascot’s fixtures. It is a Grade-2 race run over 2-miles 3-furlongs and 16 fences, and 5 of the 10 winners have been trained by Paul Nicholls. Horses have to carry penalties for winning certain races, and the likes of Master Minded and Al Ferof have previously carried the maximum weight of 11-11 to victory, though other high-class horses such as Monet’s Garden and Voy Por Ustedes have failed to do carry that burden when conceding decent horses weight. Winners have been aged 5 to 9, with 8-year-olds accounting for 4 wins.
7 runners are set to go to post for the 2016 Stella Artois 1965 Chase.
Usually at his best in the spring on good ground, and won both the Melling Chase and the Boylesports Gold Cup last season. Ran a good race first-time out though when second, trying to concede plenty of weight to the winner in the Old Roan Chase. Any further softening of the ground is likely to be against him though, and must concede weight all-round.
Would be much better-off at the weights with the market principals if this was a handicap, but was on a steep upward curve when last seen beating Outlander at Fairyhouse. Softer ground would be no problem, and stays this distance well. Stable, which was red-hot last season, is just showing signs of sparking into life.
Decent handicapper, especially here at Ascot, but was well-beaten by Gods Own in the Old Roan Chase, and is 12lb worse off at the weights. Tough ask.
Took advantage of some favourable handicapping to win the Old Roan Chase having shown some decent form previously at Aintree. However, he is 12lb worse off at the weights with Gods Own, and hasn’t run up to his best in 3 previous runs here, including when well-beaten in last season’s renewal.
2lb worse off with Gods Own for 2¾-lengths in the Old Roan Chase, but looked to blow-up there after drifting alarmingly in the market before the race. Not ruled-out, but currently seems to be struggling to find a place in handicaps or graded-races.
After a season curtailed by injury, he gets in with no penalties here and is officially 4lb well-in with Gods Own, though he was also rated 11lb higher after winning the 2015 Champion Chase. Ran okay on his comeback in the Haldon Gold Cup when trying to concede loads of weight to decent horses, and won his only previous start at Ascot impressively. He does have stamina doubts though having failed to stay 20-furlongs twice. However, that evidence may be inconclusive as they were both at Aintree where he has also run poorly over two miles.
Was making-up into a decent chaser when last seen, but a 618 absence is a tough ask in this company.
2016 Stella Artois 1965 Chase Tip
On the ratings, this should go to Dodging Bullets, though Paul Nicholl’s opinion that he stays must be taken on trust. If he doesn’t, Gods Own should take advantage, though Kylemore Lough would become more interesting with every drop of rain that falls.
Tip: Dodging Bullets @ 5/2 Bet365, SkyBet, William Hill, BetVictor
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