The 2019 Queen Anne Stakes Analysis [Plus FREE Tip]
It’s just two weeks to Royal Ascot 2019 and the Queen Anne Stakes opens the five-day meeting in spectacular fashion on Tuesday 18 June. This Group 1 contest was first run in 1840 and takes place over a straight mile. Entries much be aged four or older and notable winners have included Barathea, Cape Cross, Paco Boy, Goldikova, Frankel, and Solow.
Check out our trends, analysis, and ante-post tip for the 2019 Queen Anne Stakes.
Queen Anne Stakes 10-Year-Trends
Eight colts or geldings and two fillies or mares have been successful in the last decade, with seven winners being aged four and three aged five.
The draw hasn’t had an overbearing effect on the outcome, with two winners being drawn one, whilst Tepin won from stall-12 in a 13-runner renewal.
Only one of the last 10 winners won on its seasonal reappearance, whilst the other nine winners had run between 23 and 38 days prior to their success.
The best trainer to follow in the last decade has been Richard Hannon with three winners, whilst there have also been two French-trained winners.
Most winners have been towards the front of the market, with nine of the last 10 winners returned at odds ranging from 1/10 to 15/2. However, Accidental Agent produced a 33/1 surprise last year.
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Queen Anne Stakes 2019 Entries
The 2019 Lockinge Stakes winner is the Queen Anne Stakes favourite with most bookmakers but, at around 9/2, he’s only half the price he was at Newbury, where he had an advantageous low-draw. The gelding could also only finish twelfth in a handicap at the 2016 Royal Ascot meeting and, though he won at Ascot on his next start that season, he hasn’t run there since. If he wins, he would also become the first six-year-old Queen Anne winner this century, whilst his trainer hasn’t won the race since 2002.
Finished four-lengths behind Mustashry when fifth in the Lockinge after being a notable drifter in the market on the day of the race. However, he was drawn widest of all in stall-14 that day, which has proved an unachievable hurdle for better horses than him. He also met trouble in running before coming home with a powerful late burst from an uncompromising position. Looks sure to be brought to his peak for Royal Ascot by his trainer Aidan O’Brien, and he won the Jersey Stakes at the 2017 Royal Ascot Meeting over seven furlongs.
Enjoyed a fine three-year-old career, which included being second in the 2,000 Guineas and winning the St James’ Palace Stakes at the 2017 Royal Ascot Meeting. Returned this season after failing as a stallion and wasn’t disgraced when beaten at Ascot by Zaaki, who has won since. Won an easy race in France last time and looks an interesting challenger for Charlie Appleby, having previously been trained by Richard Hannon.
Bidding to become the third filly to win the Queen Anne Stakes in the last decade but has to turn around a 2½ defeat by Mustashry in the Lockinge Stakes. However, this multiple group one winning filly improved greatly for her first run of the season last year and may do so again. She also had a wide draw in stall-12 that day and could be the one if better drawn here. It’s also worth noting that she was the 5/1 joint-favourite at Newbury.
Just touched off by Mustashry on his final run of last season but took his revenge when both made their seasonal debuts this year, when Mustashry had to concede him 5lb. He also won his next start in France, but both those wins came over 9-furlongs and he may need a slightly longer trip to show his best.
Shock winner of the 2018 edition of this race at 33/1, when he utilised the speed he had shown over seven furlongs previously in a slowly run race. However, it’s worth noting that he had only finished sixth in the Lockinge Stakes that year and finished third in that race this year, be it from a better draw.
Has ran some great races at Ascot including when second in this race last year. However, he ran no sort of race in the Lockinge and this six-year-old has generally looked short of group one class in his career so far.
Possible French challenger who was good enough to win the French 2,000 Guineas last season. That form didn’t prove to be that strong and his form this season hasn’t earmarked him as a likely Group 1 Royal Ascot winner.
I Can Fly
Has rarely looked a group one filly in her career but she beat several of her potential rivals here when second in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes on Champions Day. She’s not run to that level so far this season but, though she wasn’t disgraced when sixth in the Lockinge and second on her last start, she could be ideally suited to Ascot. Could be the gamble of the race if the ground comes up soft.
Queen Anne Stakes Summary 2019
Mustashry deserves to be favourite on the form of his Lockinge win, but he was favoured by the draw there and he’ll be the first six-year-old to win this race in a long time.
Victory for Barney Roy would come as no surprise but he’s yet to convince he’s as good as when winning the 2017 St James’s Place Stakes. Zabeel Prince may want further, whilst the best form of Le Brivido has come over shorter, and Olmedo may not be good enough. Last year’s first and second Accidental Agent and Lord Glitters are respected but this may be a better renewal.
Laurens will surely go close and looks fair value at 8/1. However, the value bet could be I Can Fly as she likes Ascot and rain is forecast in the build-up to the meeting.
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I Can Fly (3 Places Each Way) @ 21.00 Bet365, BetVictor, MoPlay
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