Andy Murray is a short-priced favourite at 7/4 but, as clay is his worst surface, he’s begging to be taken on. He might win his quarter or even make it to the final (though I wouldn’t bet on it) but I much prefer to concentrate on the opposite half of the draw.
German Philipp Kohlschreiber, winner here in 2007 and 2012, is fancied to win the third quarter, whilst Fabio Fognini, who has twice beaten Nadal this year, looks value to win the fourth quarter – making both players look value to lift the trophy.
Kohlschreiber 1 point win @ 14/1 (Paddy Power)
Fognini 1 point win @ 12/1 (Paddy Power)
With no outstanding value in the first round match-bets, we’ll try a treble this week on the following three players
Klizan vs Mayer
Though the two players have never met, last year’s champion Martin Klizan has been in excellent form of late on clay, winning the title in Cassablanca and victories last week in Barcelona against Estrella-Burgos and Robredo before succumbing to eventual winner Nishikori. Meanwhile Mayer, who was runner-up here in 2011, hasn’t exactly been setting the world alight.
Bolelli vs Rosol
Bolelli won their only head 6-3 6-1 and, though that was on a hard-court, his recent clay-court form has a superior look to his opponent, especially his victory last week over the in-form Haider Maurer.
Kohlschreiber vs Vesely
Past Munich Champion Kohlschreiber won the only head-to-head between the two of them in 4 sets. He should have also peaked for his home tournament and is fancied to see off his lower-ranked opponent.
2 points treble Klizan (4/9), Bolelli (1/2) and Kohlschreiber (4/9) with Bet365.
Kei Nishikori landed our outright bet, whilst Almagro landed one of two match bets – giving is a 3.4 points profit on the week.