The Shanghai Masters is the penultimate ATP Tour 1000 Event of the season, and it takes place on the outdoor hardcourts of the Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena in the Minhong District of Shanghai, China.
In recent seasons it has been dominated by world number one Novak Djokovic, who claimed the title in 2012, 2013 and 2015, with the absent this year Roger Federer winning in 2014. Meanwhile, world number two Andy Murray has also played well here previously in taking the title in 2010 and 2011, and also losing to Djokovic in the final in 2012.
It’s no surprise to see this year’s betting is headed by Djokovic at 13/8, with Murray next best at 3/1 and Wawrinka at 11/1. It’s then 20/1 Nadal, 25/1 Del Potro and Raonic, 33/1 Cilic, 40/1 Monfils, Berdych and Kyrgios.
It’s fair to say that Djokvic hasn’t been quite the same player since completing a career Grand Slam in the French Open, but he does usually raise his game for these big events. He should have no problem making it to the quarter-finals where he is seeded to meet Tomas Berdych, however the Czech won’t be relishing the prospect of a last-16 match against Kyrgios who seems to have had his mark of late, and Djokovic has yet to play Kyrgios and could be a thorn in his side. If you think he won’t be, then Djokovic is likely face either Nadal or Cilic in the semis – and he’s won his last 21 matches against those two.
US Open Champion Wawrinka is the star of the third-quarter, and he looks to have an easy route to the quarter-finals where either Raonic or Ferrer may lay in wait. Ferrer has won all 4 of his previous matches against Raonic and, with the big Canadian not at his best of late, he may make it 5-0 at a time of year he often comes good at. However, it’s the opposite against Wawrinka against whom he has lost his last 4.
Meanwhile, the fourth-quarter looks the toughest of all with eleventh seed Goffin getting the worst of the draw against nightmare wildcard Del Potro, who can win that before also taking care of Monfils. He may then face Andy Murray in the quarter-finals in what is sure to be a tough match. That may be music to the ears of Wawrinka who could capitalise on fatigue against either man in the semi-finals. Wawrinka also likes to tough it out, and has won 2 of his last 4 against Djokovic.
Shanghai Masters Tips
This looks the prefect opportunity for Djokovic to prove he’s the best around, and 13/8 is twice the price he would have been on his early season form. That’s good though, as that means we can also afford to have a saver on Wawrinka.
Djokovic 3 Points Win @ 13/1
Wawrinka 1 Pojnt Win @ 11/1