Saturday Big Race Best Bets – Remain Emotionless
Published on 10/10/15
The Dewhurst is a Group-1 race run over a straight 7-furlongs at Newmarket. It is one of the most prestigious 2-year-old trials of the year, and 4 of the last 10 winners have gone onto classic success the following season, Sir Percy, New Approach, Frankel and Dawn Approach.
This year’s renewal is set to have 7 runners, and here’s our analysis and big-race best bet.
Won just 1 of his 6 starts, and beaten fair and square by one of today’s reopposing rivals Sanus Per Aquam last time. That performance raised his rating to 107, but that still falls short of the required class that is likely to be needed to win this.
Air Force Blue 11/10
Was one of the few Aidan O’Brien trained runners not to win at Royal Ascot this year, but has since taken his revenge on Buratino who beat him there. Won his last 2 starts with a useful turn of foot, yet the form was let down somewhat by Herald the Dawn on Arc weekend.
Beautifully bred colt who has looked very special in winning his two starts so far. It will be interesting to see if Ibn Malik can boost the form earlier on the card, whilst it’s also interesting that Emotionless’s sire Shamadal also won this race.
Only had 2 starts, but was very impressive when winning his maiden last time, after finishing a head behind Cymric on debut. That rival finished a neck second in a group-1 on Arc weekend, so could be open to any amount of improvement.
Sanus Per Aquam 25/1
Bound to attract some money as his trainer Jim Bolger has won the race 5 times in the last 9 years. Got a sighter of the course last time, but looked helped by the rail on that occasion. Not ruled out, but looks more exposed than most of the others.
Won the last 2 of his 3 starts but, though you can’t rule out anything trainer John Gosden runs at present, he needs to step-up again on what he’s shown so far.
Twin Sails 100/1
Started with 2 impressive wins but has then failed to land a Group-2 and some valuable sales races. May well prove better over further next year, as did his Derby winning father Sir Percy, who won this race in 2005.
The betting suggests this is a two horse race and, of those two, I prefer Emotionless over Air Force Blue. However, it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise if Massaat outruns his odds for trainer Barry Hills, who trained the winner 3 times between 1988 and 1999.
Emotionless @ 6/4 (Betfair Sportsbook)