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Royal Ascot Tips [Day 4]
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Royal Ascot Tips [Day 4]

The Hardwicke Stakes and the Commonwealth Cup are the highlights of day four of Royal Ascot and you can check out our analysis and free tips below.

Hardwicke Stakes Analysis

15:00 at Ascot Racecourse on 19th June

This looks a fascinating renewal of this Group 2 contest, with the early market headed by last year’s Derby winner Antony Van Dyck. Last year’s Derby looks like it was a weak edition, but Aidan O’Brien’s charge could make a better 4-year-old. He certainly did little wrong when chasing home Ghaayaith on his seasonal debut but he doesn’t have the consistent profile that makes me want to rush in and back him.

But he did finish in front of last year’s winner Defoe in that race, though Defoe could take a big step forward here with his stable hitting top form. Good runs from Hamish and Fanny Logan also can’t be ruled out.

Elarqam is also of interest, as his neck second to Lord North on his seasonal debut looks much better now after that horse hosed up here earlier this week. The unknown for Mark Johnston’s 5-year-old is the step up in distance. He’ll be a massive danger to all if he stays on rain-softened ground he’s handled in the past.

Free Tip for Hardwicke Stakes

Morando is our each-way tip for the Hardwicke Stakes, as the forecast of further rain means this could turn into a real slog. Andrew Balding’s 7-year-old loves such conditions, including when winning a group 3 over course and distance last season. He also hosed up on soft on his seasonal debut last season.

TipMorando (each-way) @ 7.00 Bet365, 10Bet

Commonwealth Cup Analysis

15:35 at Ascot Racecourse on 19th June

This Group 1 race takes place over 6-furlongs and is limited to 3-year-olds. The American raider Kimari was runner-up in the Queen Mary last season at the Royal Meeting but connections probably won’t be pleased that the ground has turned softer as this speedster steps up to 6-furlongs for the first time.

Aidan O’Brien sends three over, but none of them look anywhere near the class of his previous winner Caravaggio. Millisle is another Irish raider and she’s looking for redemption after flopping in the 1,000 Guineas. But she didn’t look like winning at any trip that day and is passed over, despite being the officially top-rated horse.

Mum’s Tipple looked impressive when winning his first two runs last season, but he has flopped on his last two runs. The return to sprinting looks the right move but he needs to return to his best. Golden Horde has some of the best form on offer and the dogs have been barking about how much he’s improved from two to three, but I think he may only be second best.

Free Tip for Commonwealth Cup

Pierre Lapin is the tip for the Commonwealth Cup, with the stable of Roger Varian in great form over the first few days at Royal Ascot. He was smashed off the boards when winning on his 2-year-old debut and took the step-up to Group 2 company in his long and powerful stride next time. The soft ground is an unknown, but his half-brother Harry Angel handled it, and that horse was also a Group 1 sprinting champion.

TipPierre Lapin @ 5.00 Bet365, 10Bet

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