Run over a stamina-sapping 20-furlongs, plenty of good horses have tried and failed to see out the trip. Meanwhile, Aidan O’Brien had dominated the last decade of the Ascot Gold Cup, winning 6 of them with 3 different horses and 5 different jockeys, whilst Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori are the only winning jockeys in that time who have a mount today.
The last 3 winners have all been 4-year-olds, but 5 and 6-year-olds have a similar overall record.
Here’s our analysis and tip for the big race.
Yet to race beyond 15-furlongs, and was behind Brown Panther in Meydan earlier this year – suggesting he’s not quite up to winning this.
A staying on 5th in last year’s Doncaster Cup means he should get the trip, but would prefer softer ground.
May have started life in a National Hunt flat race, but has looked all over a group 1 performer in three flat runs since. Sure to stay but is another who connections would have preferred softer ground for.
Never got involved when 8th in last year’s renewal, and a similar story probably awaits.
A mountain to climb on official ratings.
Tac De Boitron
Guaranteed to get the trip but connections usually only run him on soft ground. He’s an 8-year-old now so they may risk him in what is surely the twilight of his career.
Been behind a few of today’s rivals on his last two runs and the trip will need to improve him.
Improved on his last two starts when stepped up to 14-furlongs, and looks sure to appreciate this extra distance. Trained by the very inform combination of O’Brien and Moore.
Beat Vent De Force and Forever now when taking the Sagaro over 2-miles here earlier this year. The Cumani stable was red-hot then though, but has lots of untapped potential.
Connections step him up a full mile in trip – a complete unknown at the distance.
Trip To Paris
Could never get to Vent De Force when runner-up at Sandown, but the way he rattled home in the Chester Cup suggests he’ll relish the trip. Stable form a bit of a worry.
Vent De Force
Trainer Hughie Morrison does well with his stayers and this one hacked-up at Sandown last time when granted an easy lead. Morrison’s two runner so far this week have both been placed.
Fourth in last year’s St Leger, but that effort didn’t suggest he really wanted this extreme trip.
Today’s Horse Racing Betting Advice
There’s a chance Forgotten Rules in a freak and will win, but I’d much sooner take him on with Kingfisher who looks to be crying out for a proper trip and is trained by Aidan O’Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore.
Kingfisher each-way @ 10/1 (Ladbrokes) 1/4 odds 1-2-3