Rose Of Lancaster Stakes Trends & Preview [inc FREE Tip]
The Group 3 Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Saturday 10 August, 3.05pm) is run over a distance of 1 mile 2 furlongs and 100 yards at Haydock Park racecourse. It was first run in 1986 and the most notable winner was Nayef in 2001.
Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the Rose of Lancaster Stakes 2019.
Rose Of Lancaster Stakes 10-Year-Trends
The shortest-priced winner of the Rose of Lancaster Stakes in the last decade was just 1/3, but this isn’t normally a great race for favourites with seven of the last 10 winners returned at odds ranging from 6/1 to 14/1.
3-year-olds have won four of the last 10 renewals, as have 4-year-olds, whilst 5-year-olds have won two. Only two winners had won last time out, with the other winners finishing between second and seventh on their previous start. All 10 winners had run between 14 and 49 days prior to winning the Rose of Lancaster Stakes and no horse carried a penalty to victory.
The draw hasn’t shown much bias, but the two winners in the years were soft featured in the going description have been drawn 8 of 11 and 4 of 9. John Gosden is the only trainer with a runner that has trained a winner in the last decade, whilst Richard Kingscote is the only jockey with a ride that has ridden a winner in that time.
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Rose Of Lancaster Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Last year’s John Gosden-trained Cambridgeshire winner looked brilliant on the all-weather over the winter at Lingfield but, after beating up the same horses in most of those races, he found the useful Matterhorn 7-lengths too good on All-weather Finals Day. It’s possible that he underperformed that day but, whilst there’s no reason he won’t be equally as good on turf, most of his form has come on a fast surface. So, with lots of rain forecast at Haydock on Saturday, there must be a doubt about him on the ground carrying a penalty.
This William Haggas-trained 5-year-old won’t mind how much rain falls as he revels in soft ground. Last year’s winning rider Richard Kingscote also looks a shrewd booking by Haggas, as he’s one of the top jockeys at Haydock. He must have a great chance if at his best but, despite running well twice in succession on a few occasions, he’s twice disappointed when asked to string three good races together.
His best moment came when winning a handicap off 91 and his current rating of 93 leaves him with a lot to find on official ratings. It’s hard to see him winning and it may be that connections hope the handicapper will show him some leniency if he finishes last, as his rating suggests he should.
Three times a winner at a mile on good and good-to-firm ground but he ran his best race of the season on soft ground two starts ago. He was second to the useful Happy Power that day, who has since run well to be fourth in the Group 1 Sussex Stakes, whilst the fourth home Sir Dancelot has also won a decent race. However, he looked a weak finisher when trying today’s trip last season and he’s not sure to be suited by a stamina test if the expected rain arrives.
The first of the 3-year-olds in this year’s field and, though he didn’t stay 12-furlongs at Royal Ascot, he’s posted three excellent runs at 10-furlongs either side of that run. Three starts ago, he scorched clear of a rival that has since won at Glorious Goodwood, whilst his second to the exciting Fox Chairman last time was another decent effort. He has a few pounds to find with the best of these, but this progressive type could make a bold bid from the front.
Another 3-year-old that put up his best performance from the front when winning a Listed Race over 10-furlongs at Newmarket. The form of that win looks decent, with the second beaten by slightly less distance in a Group 3 next time. Fox Chairman was second in that race, which means Raise You could be better than Pondus. You do have to forgive him a poor run in the French Derby, but the fact he ran in that Group 1 contest suggests connections hold him in the highest regard, and his trainer also trains Fox Chairman.
Won one of his two races as a 2-year-old and has taken his form to a new level since when finishing between second and fifth in races in France and Germany this season, including when running well in the German Derby. He’s not got the winning profile of the other 3-year-olds but is rated 1lb higher than them, so he can’t be ruled out.
Rose Of Lancaster Stakes Verdict
Addeyb looks likely to go off favourite, with any rain that falls in his favour. However, it’s worrying that he’s failed to string three good runs together before and he could be worth taking on at a short price. There’s also doubts about Wissahickon with the possibility of soft ground against him. His draw in stall one could also cause him problems, if he gets stuck on the rail, as he likes to come with a late run.
Lunar Jet looks impossible to fancy and there also must be a doubt regarding the stamina of Wadilsafa.
That makes the 3-year-olds look an interesting bunch. Surrey Thunder isn’t dismissed down in class, whilst Pondus is proven on soft ground and could go well. However, trainer Andrew Balding’s Fox Chairman beat Pondus last time and it looks a big tip that he takes him on again with Raise You. He has run well on soft before and the fact connections ran in him in the French Derby suggests they think he’s better than a Group 3 horse.
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Raise You @ 8.00 Ladbrokes
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