Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes Preview [+ Tip]
The Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes (Thursday 11 July) is the highlight on the opening day of Newmarket’s Moet & Chandon July Festival. It is a Group 2 Race run over 12-furlongs on the July Course that is open to horses aged three and older. It was established in 1894 and notable winners have included Carroll House, Shantou, Lucarno, and Big Orange.
Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes 2019.
Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes 10-Year-Trends
Seven of the last 10 winners were 4-year-olds, with one 5-year-old, one 6-year-old, and one 8-year-old also successful. All winners in the last decade had run between 11 and 103 days earlier, but none of the winners in the last decade had won their previous race, finishing between second and seventh on their previous start.
Sir Michael Stoute (three), Charlie Appleby (one), and Mark Johnston (one) are the only trainers with runners this year to have won the race in the last 10-years. Ryan Moore rode all three of Sir Michael Stoute’s winners in this period, whilst James Doyle rode Charlie Appleby’s winner. Silvestre De Sousa has also ridden a winner.
Favourites haven’t got a great record in the race, with the lowest-priced winner being returned at odds of 3/1, whilst the biggest-priced winner was 25/1.
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Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Mark Johnston trained four-year-old that is only the fourth highest-rated horse of this year’s sextet, and the 3lb penalty he must concede because of his win in the Jockey Club Stakes will make life even harder. But he beat Defoe in that race, and that horse has franked the form by winning two better group races since. Defore reversed the form in the first of those wins at Epsom, but Communique is unbeaten in three runs at Newmarket, one on the July Course and two on the Rowley Mile. Silvestre De Sousa has also won five of his 10 starts on him, including two of those three wins at Newmarket.
A second four-year-old trained by Mark Johnston, and he was well-backed to win a competitive handicap at Royal Ascot last time. That run was his first for 13-months after winning at Newmarket the previous year. He’s officially the second lowest-rated runner in the field but he still has the potential to make up into a group horse on his first venture into this class. The negative is that the last two jockeys that have won on him, Ryan Moore and Silvestre De Sousa, have opted to ride other horses. But Andrea Atzeni won on him the only other time he’s ridden him.
Grand old 7-year-old that has run in lots of big races, winning his most lucrative prize in Canada last season. That win earned him the second-highest rating of these horses, but that mark has dropped a little after two very disappointing runs at Meydan and at Royal Ascot on his last two starts. He’s hard to fancy on that form. He’s also yet to race on the July Course, but did win a handicap on the Rowley Mile earlier in his career.
Group Race winning 2-year-old in 2017 who made up into a better three-year-old when running third in the 2,000 Guineas before winning the 2018 Derby on his first try at 12-furlongs, finishing in front of Roaring Lion on both occasions. He would probably win this easily if producing that level of form, but his fifth-place finish at Royal Ascot didn’t suggest he was back to his best. However, it could be unfair to dismiss him on that run as he stumbled coming out of the stalls before being forced to race too far back. He then had to challenge widest of all before his long absence from the track probably caused him to blow up in the final stages.
5-year-old trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore who finished in front of both Masar and Communique when third at Royal Ascot. However, having had a dream run throughout that race, it’s doubtful he’s any better than he showed there, which the balance of his form also suggests. This year’s renewal also looks stronger than last year’s race in which he finished second.
Three-year-olds don’t have a brilliant record in this race, with just one winner this century, but Andrew Balding’s colt looks a useful tool, finishing in third in the Chester Vase before winning the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot. However, that win came over 14-furlongs and he may not be ideally suited by today’s drop to 12-furlongs.
Princess Of Wales’s Tattersalls Stakes Verdict 2019
Desert Encounter will need to bounce back from two poor runs and has yet to crack it at this level, whilst Dashing Willoughby may not be suited by dropping back in distance. Meanwhile, Baghdad also needs to prove he’s a group horse and has been deserted by both Ryan Moore and Silvestre De Sousa.
Moore prefers Mirage Dancer, but the 5-year-old tends to finds at least one too good at this level. That could well be Masar who, despite finishing behind Mirage Dancer last time, should strip fitter this time and has the back-class to win this easily.
However, as Masar does have to prove he’s as good as he was winning The Derby in 2018, it could be worth taking a chance on Communique. He was well-beaten at Royal Ascot, but would have a chance on his defeat of Defoe earlier in the season, and could easily return to that level of form at a course where he’s unbeaten in three previous runs.
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Communique @ 15.00 Bet365, William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral, Unibet, Boylesports
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