The English Premier League may be considered the most entertaining football league in the world, but that hasn’t stopped the bookies offering odds for which of the 20 teams will score the least goals during the 2019/20 season.
Check out our stats, analysis, and free tip for Premier League lowest scoring team 2019/20.
How Many Goals Premier League Teams Scored In 2018/19 Season
It’s no surprise the three teams relegated from the Premier League last season were the three lowest scoring teams, as it’s hard to win matches if you don’t score goals. Brighton got lucky, as they survived in 17th place despite scoring just 35 goals in 38 games, one more goal than the two teams directly below them.
Newcastle finished 13th, but they owed that position to having the joint seventh best defence in the league, and they were the fifth lowest scorers with 42 goals. Southampton and Burnley were the joint next lowest scorers with 45 goals, whilst Wolves were the seventh lowest scorers with 47 goals, a surprise considering they qualified for Europe by finishing seventh in the table.
The remaining teams all scored 50 or more goals: Leicester 51, Crystal Palace 51, West Ham 52, Watford 52, Everton 54, Bournemouth 56, Chelsea 63, Manchester United 65, Tottenham 67, Arsenal, 73, Liverpool 89, Manchester City 95.
Interestingly, the only teams that played in the Premier League the season before not to score more goals last year where Manchester United, Tottenham, Arsenal, and Leicester.
The other noticeable thing is how fewer goals per game the three teams promoted from the Championship scored in the Premier League compared to the Championship. Wolves scored 82 goals in 46 games when winning the Championship but only managed 45 goals in 38 games in the Premier League, Cardiff scored 69 goals in 46 games to gain promotion but were relegated after scoring just 34 in 38 games, whilst Fulham were also relegated after scoring just 34 goals compared to the 79 goals in 46 games they amassed to gain promotion via the play-offs.
Premier League Lowest Scoring Team Contenders
Sheffield United 7/2
The bookies seem convinced that Sheffield United are going to have a poor season and that may be true if the relegation favourites struggle to score 40+ goals this season. They were the lowest scoring of the three promoted teams in the Championship last season with 78 goals and that was one less than Fulham who finished bottom of the Premier League last year. Chris Wilder, who has yet to test his managerial mettle in the Premier League, has brought in a few record signings, but Sheffield United are probably the right favourites in the Premier League lowest scoring betting.
The 2018/19 Championship winners are second favourites to be the Premier League lowest scoring team in 2019/20 but their total of 93 goals last season was more than 11 goals higher than Wolves managed when winning the 2017/18 Championship. Manager Daniel Farke’s team played some lovely possession football but, as he’s yet to sign any significant players to boost his squad, there has to be some doubt as to whether his players are good enough for the Premier League. However, whether they stay up or not, it’s easy to see them scoring enough goals to avoid being the 2019/20 Premier League lowest scoring team.
The Seagulls have somehow survived the dreaded drop in the last two seasons despite scoring just 34 and 35 goals. Of course, manager Chris Hughton has since left Brighton and has been replaced by Graham Potter. The new manager may well initiate a change to more attacking tactics, with Potter’s former club Swansea noticeably scoring more goals in the second half of his season in charge. Only time will tell if Potter can do something similar at his new club.
In 2017/18, Burnley achieved the amazing feat of qualifying for Europe in seventh place despite scoring less than a goal a game, thanks to a defence that conceded just 39 goals. However, after a failed European campaign distracted them last season, they scored 45 goals but conceded 68 to finish 15th. It will be interesting to see whether manager Sean Dyche returns to more defensive tactics this season, but Burnley can still avoid being the Premier League lowest scoring team.
Aston Villa 13/1
Villa scored 62 goals in the final 33 Championship games last season after the arrival of Head Coach Dean Smith. That was despite a mid-season dip in form when Jack Grealish was injured. Much may depend again on the fitness of Grealish but Smith has been given money to spend and he’s been busy in the transfer market. Only time will tell if he’s bought well and can mould his new signings into a decent team, but Smith’s new look Villa are fancied to outscore several other Premier League teams.
There was a mass exodus of strikers from Newcastle at the end of last season, but new manager Steve Bruce has since signed Joelinton as his target man. However, the young Brazilian isn’t a proven goalscorer and it wouldn’t be a surprise if Newcastle struggle for goals early season.
Crystal Palace 25/1
A repeat of either of Palace’s totals of 45 goals or 51 goals in the last two seasons would stop them winning being the Premier League lowest scoring team this season. But they look sure to lose talismanic striker Wilfried Zaha before the pre-season transfer window closes and that could limit their goalscoring opportunities if they don’t find a suitable replacement.
Premier League Lowest Scoring Team Verdict
Newly promoted Sheffield United and Norwich could easily struggle this season and end up as the lowest scorers. But I’m willing to take a chance on Newcastle at 16/1, whilst Palace also look a value bet with Zaha reportedly sure to leave.