Two more of the Premier League’s big-six will be hoping to get back to winning-form on Sunday, with Man City long odds-on to win at Bournemouth and Tottenham nearly as short to beat Newcastle at home. Check out our analysis and Premier League predictions for those two televised games as well as Wolves vs Burnley.
Bournemouth vs Man City (2.00)
Tottenham may have brought Manchester City’s impressive run of Premier League wins to an end last Saturday, but City are long odds-on to start another one against Bournemouth on Sunday. But it’s easy to see the bookies are willing to offer 14/1 about a Bournemouth home win as City have won all eight of the previous Premier League head-to-heads.
Despite those eight defeats, Bournemouth haven’t made it easy for City on their last three visits to the Vitality Stadium. City only won 1-0 last year and 2-0 in 2017, whilst it took a 97th minute goal by Raheem Sterling to secure a 2-1 winning score-line for City two seasons ago.
Those stats suggest that the 9/4 on offer for there being less than 2.5 goals offers a bit of value. Bournemouth have also started the season in reasonable form, conceding just once in each of their games against Sheffield United and Aston Villa.
Tottenham vs Newcastle (4.30pm)
Tottenham threw down the gauntlet to Manchester City last week with a 2-2 draw and it will be a big disappointment if Spurs can’t notch up another three points this week against a Newcastle team that has yet to win a point.
Newcastle did beat Spurs 5-1 at St James’s Park in May 2016, but Tottenham have won home and away against The Magpies in each of the last two seasons. Those last two home wins both came with a 1-0 score-line at Wembley and it will be interesting to see whether Spurs can improve on those results at their new home at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Tottenham may well score more than one but, whether they do or don’t, it could be worth simply backing Tottenham to win to nil. They’ve kept three clean sheets in their last four games against Newcastle and the new-look Newcastle forward line-up has failed to convince in their opening two games. They failed to score at home against Arsenal, whilst Norwich were probably starting to celebrate their 3-0 lead when allowing Newcastle to grab a consolation goal in the 93rd minute.
Wolves vs Burnley (4.30pm)
An interesting early season clash between the teams that have finished seventh in the Premier League in the last two seasons, and both have made satisfactory starts to the new campaign.
Wolves don’t appear to have been distracted by the early pressures of the Europa League, something which happened to Burnley last season. Two draws against Leicester and Manchester United are perfectly acceptable for Wolves, who looks sure to be challenging for seventh place once again, at least.
Burnley have also impressed so far this season, looking more like the team that booked their ticket for the Europa League by finishing seventh in 2017/18. Manager Sean Dyche has got his team playing with passion, and Ashley Barnes has already scored three goals this season. Burnley don’t look like a side that many pundits were tipping for relegation and The Clarets can be proud of their performance at Arsenal last week, when they created plenty of chances.
The problem for Burnley is Wolves are masters at limiting the chances other teams create, and passion and commitment can only take you so far when it comes to unlocking a mean defence. Burnley may get plenty of possession, but whether they have the type of players who can find the killer pass or create a moment of individual brilliance to win this match remains to be seen. But Sean Dyche is no mug, and he knows this will be the sort of game where committing too many men forward will them vulnerable to a sucker punch from the patent Wolves side.
The key stats to take from Wolves’ opening two games this season is they’ve only allowed three shots on target, and even the odds-on about there being less than 2.5 goals looks worth taking. That all suggests this could be a low-scoring affair, typical of the ones the two teams fought out early last season. Wolves won this fixture 1-0, and it came in the middle of a run that saw less than 2.5 goals in 10 of Wolves’ opening 11 games.