There’s two of the biggest matches in English Football this weekend as Manchester United host Manchester City, and Liverpool host Everton, but there looks to be better-value bets in the matches between Burnley and Watford, Huddersfield and Brighton, Swansea and West Brom, and Tottenham and Stoke.
Burnley vs Watford (3.00)
Burnley and Watford have been the two surprise packages of the Premier League so far, with Burnley in seventh with 25 points from 14 games, 3 points and 1 place above Watford. However, whilst Burnley like to keep things tight, Watford are happy to play attacking football, and it will be interesting to see how the contrasting styles stand up against each other. Last season, both games where won by the home team, whilst the previous 4 games were all draws. However, with both teams playing to a much higher standard than last season, I’m prepared to chance Watford at the prices, in the hope they can outscore Burnley.
Huddersfield vs Brighton (3.00)
It’s a first Premier League clash for Huddersfield and Brighton, but they’ve played each other on a regular basis in the Championship over the last few seasons. Last season’s two games were both won by the home teams, but the three previous renewals of this fixture ended as draws, as did two of the last four reverse fixtures. Huddersfield could do with a win after losing their last 4 but, with Brighton playing marginally better, and having drawn 5 of their last 14 games – a draw looks the value.
Swansea vs West Brom (3.00)
Swansea sit bottom of the Premier League and, despite scoring a goal last week in their defeat at Stoke, 5 blanks in their last 7 games is the main reason why relegation is currently beckoning. West Brom aren’t exactly setting the world alight either though, and they’ve failed to score on their three previous visits here, with last year’s game ending 0-0. Therefore, the value-bet could be for both teams not to score.
Tottenham vs Stoke (3.00)
Tottenham have won their last 3 matches against Stoke 4-0, but look to have let their success in Europe go to their heads with no wins in their last 4 Premier League games. Their brilliant home record from last season is also a distant memory, and playing at Wembley seems to still be a problem. Therefore, in their current poor form, and with 5 of their last 6 home games producing 2 goals or less, it could be another low-scoring affair.