Our Irish 2,000 Guineas Preview [Plus FREE Tip]
Published on 24/05/19
The Irish 2,000 Guineas (Saturday 25 May, 3.35) is the first classic of the Irish flat season. It takes place over a mile at the Curragh and has been won by some of the great of both Irish and English horse racing. It’s a roll of honour that includes Grundy, Sadler’s Wells, Rock Of Gibraltar, Dubawi, Canford Cliffs, Kingman, and Churchill.
Check out our trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the 2019 Irish 2,000 Guineas.
Irish 2,000 Guineas 10-Year-Trends
The most noticeable Irish 2,000 Guineas trend is the last 10 winners have all run in the three weeks before the race. Nine of those 10 winners were also well-found in the market and were returned at no bigger than 5/1.
Aidan O’Brien has trained six of the last 10 winners, three of which had won their previous race, with two of those completing the English and Irish 2,000 Guineas double. However, six winners had not won their previous start.
Nine out of 10 winners were also drawn between stalls one and six, but this year’s field will be bigger than any of the last 10 editions if all 14 entries go to post.
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Irish 2,000 Guineas Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Winner of two of his three races including his seasonal debut five weeks ago. He was quite impressive that day but still probably needs to find a fair bit of improvement to get involved here from an official mark of 105.
Finished a few lengths behind Ten Sovereigns on his final start as a two-year-old and he was a big drifter in the betting before disappointing in the English 2,000 Guineas. He’s probably better than he showed there but it’s hard to see him winning this.
The first of five runners for Aidan O’Brien but this one surely won’t be winning off a mark of 81 after finishing no better than fourth in three maidens. Likely pacemaker if he’s good enough to lead this field.
Managed to win a Group 3 on his final start last season but mainly chased home Aidan O’Brien trainer horses before that. It’s been a similar story this year, as he’s twice been well-beaten by Broome, though he did get a lot closer on the second occasion.
Beaten into fourth by Decrypt on debut but won his maiden at the second time of asking. That victory earned him a mark of 91 and he’ll need to have improved a lot in the 335 days he’s been absent from the track.
I Am Superman
Has won handicaps off marks of 79 and 89 already this season but could only finish in midfield in Listed company last time. Will probably find this company is his Kryptonite.
Looked an impressive winner of the English 2,000 Guineas, though there’s a suspicion that he was flattered by the result. He was only the second Aidan O’Brien horse in the market that day and looked to benefit from what may have been something of a golden highway down the stands rail. The proximity of the 66/1 runner-up certainly suggests that and, though he could still be the best horse in today’s field, he probably doesn’t deserve to be as short a price as he is.
Group 2 winner but he finished last behind Too Darn Hot on his final start as a two-year-old. He ran okay when second behind a stablemate at Chester on his seasonal debut over 10-furlongs but, having looked outpaced at a crucial stage that day, it’s hard to believe that dropping back to a mile will be in his favour.
Won one of his three starts as a two-year-old and earned a three-figure rating despite losing the last two of them. He hasn’t been seen on a racecourse for 217 days and it’s impossible to know whether he’s improved enough to win a race like this in that time.
Phoenix Of Spain
Imposing two-year-old that always looked likely to make up into a serious three-year-old, having finished behind Too Darn Hot (1¾ lengths) and Magna Grecia (neck) on his final two starts. He probably doesn’t deserve to be as big as 14/1 on that form and he could benefit from a typical Jamie Spencer hold-up ride if there’s a strong pace. The worry is he’s not had a prep run.
Dermot Weld hasn’t trained a winner of the Irish 2,000 Guineas since 1986 but this year’s hope arrives here unbeaten after two runs. However, the form of those wins doesn’t look overly strong.
Likeable sort that won his first two races in eye-catching style before finishing third in the English 2,000 Guineas. He wasn’t done any favours by the draw that day but finished best of the low-drawn horses, well away from Magna Grecia on the opposite side of the track. He could easily turn that form around if his draw in stall-two proves more-favourable today.
Too Darn Hot
Last year’s top-rated two-year-old on either side of the Irish Sea and was odds-on for the English 2,000 Guineas before a setback forced him to miss the race. He was very buzzy in the Dante only nine days ago but still finished a decent second behind a highly-regarded sort. Connections obviously think that has done him the world of good and they come here rather than step him up in distance for The Derby. A line of form through Phoenix Of Spain suggests he should best Magna Grecia and the money has come for him this week.
The fifth and final of the Aidan O’Brien runners but his overall form from last year and this year suggests he shouldn’t be winning this.
Irish 2,000 Guineas Summary 2019
Aidan O’Brien has horses in stalls seven, 13, and 14, and these will probably be used to tow Magna Grecia into the race from stall-9. However, they should also help Too Darn Hot from stall-11. Skardu and Phoenix Of Spain both offer each-way value but, as they’re drawn in stalls one and two, they could be at a disadvantage if the pace is on the other side. That’s why Too Darn Hot is expected to show his class.
[su_service title=”Free Tip For The Irish 2,000 Guineas” icon=”icon: tipeee” icon_color=”#FA6B03″ size=”30″]Too Darn Hot @ 2.38 WilliamHill, Betfred, BlackType, RedZone, 10Bet[/su_service]
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