Our Blue Wind Stakes 2019 Analysis [And Free Tip]
Published on 10/05/19
The Group 3 Blue Wind Stakes (Saturday 11 May, 3.20) is a Listed Race run over 10-furlongs at Naas that is restricted to fillies and mares that are aged three and older.
The race first took place in 2001 and the most notable winner is the 2015 winner Pleasach who went on to win both the Irish 1,000 Guineas and the Yorkshire Oaks.
Check out our trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the 2019 Blue Wind Stakes.
Blue Wind Stakes 10-Year-Trends
The last 10 winners have been aged either three or four, with three-year-olds winning seven editions. The draw has had little effect with winners drawn between stalls one and 10, but eight of the last 10 winners had already run at least once that season.
Short-priced horses have an excellent record, with eight winners returned at odds between 10/11 and 7/1, whilst the others were returned at 6/1 and 33/1.
Dermot Weld has trained three winners of the race in the last decade, whilst Aidan O’Brien won it for the first time in 2018.
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Blue Wind Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide
English raider who won a weak-looking Listed race last year but couldn’t cope in Group company or handicap company off a mark of 93 afterward. Hard to see her beating the higher-rated horses or conceding weight to some potentially improving three-year-olds.
Highest-rated horse in the field on a mark of 108 and already a dual Group 3 winner. Not disgraced in Group 1 and Group 2 races on final two starts last season and proved her well-being by winning a weak-looking Listed Race easily at odds-on last time. Has also won her only previous start at Naas.
Seemingly an unfancied 8/1 shot when winning her maiden at the first time of asking at Gowran Park but finished last when stepped up to 10-furlongs for this year’s seasonal debut. Bred to be a nice middle-distance performer but doesn’t look to be at the top of the Aidan O’Brien pecking order.
Won only one of eight races so far and she was an even bigger price than Chablis when they met last time. She finished in front of Chablis there but jockey bookings suggest she’s not the most fancied of the Aidan O’Brien runners.
Disappointing favourite on her seasonal reappearance over a mile but is another filly bred to excel over further. Likely to take a step forward at some point but faces two much higher-rated fillies here.
Won her final race of last season by 1¾ lengths from the re-opposing Tanarwa. That was over a mile but the way she was staying on and her breeding suggest that she’ll be well-suited by a step up in trip this season. Jockey bookings also suggest that she’s Aidan O’Brien’s number one and the big question is whether she’ll be fit enough on her seasonal debut.
Won over 10 furlongs on her debut but was only third behind another Aidan O’Brien horse last time. Dermot Weld has a good record in this race, and she has fitness on her side, but she’s rated 6lb lower than Peach Tree.
Blue Wind Stakes Verdict 2019
Short-priced horses have a great record in the race and it’s easy to see the finish being fought out between the top-rated four-year-old Who’s Steph and the top-rated three-year-old Peach Tree. Despite Aidan O’Brien having four entries, a chance is taken on Who’s Steph, who has plenty of form at a higher-level. She’s also race-fit, having had two runs already this season, and she can hopefully maintain her 100% Group 3 and course record.
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