Our 2019 Yorkshire Cup Preview [1 Betting Tip Available]
The Yorkshire Cup is a Group 2 race for stayers run over a trip of 1 mile 5 furlongs and 188 yards on the third and final day of the Dante Meeting at York. It is one of eight qualifying races for the WH Stayers Million, and the winner can collect a £1 Million Bonus if they go on to win the Ascot Gold Cup, Goodwood Cup, and the Lonsdale Cup.
The race Yorkshire Cup was first run in 1927 and has been won by top-class stayers like Ardross, Moonax, and Classic Cliché, whilst Stradivarius won the 2018 edition on his way to collecting the WH Stayers Million Bonus.
Check out 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tips for the 2019 Yorkshire Cup.
Yorkshire Cup 10-Year-Trends
The last 10 winners of the Yorkshire Cup have all been aged between four and eight and have been drawn between stalls two and seven. Six of those winners won it on their seasonal debut.
The leading jockey has been Ryan Moore who has won the race four times in the last decade. John Gosden is the leading trainer with a runner, having trained two of the last eight winners.
Most winners tend to be well-found in the market, with nine winners returned at odds of between 4/6 and 4/1.
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Yorkshire Cup Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Won last year’s Yorkshire Cup in an unbeaten season that saw his connections plunder the WH Stayers Million Bonus. He carries a 3lb penalty this year but is rated 4lb or more superior to all his rivals. There’s a slight danger that he won’t be at his best first time out against some race-fit rivals but the prospect of winning another big bonus means connections will surely have him somewhere close to his best.
Won three handicaps off marks of up to 90 on the all-weather recently but hasn’t looked as good running against better horses in Championship races on his last two starts. It’s hard to see him being good enough to win this back on turf.
Runner-up to Stradivarius in last year’s Yorkshire Cup, but has now been beaten seven-times by the re-opposing favourite. He does have a 6lb pull at the weights for last year’s three-length beating, which theoretically gives him a chance to reverse the form, but the margin of victory didn’t really show the superiority of Stradivarius that day.
Beaten three times on turf at shorter trips last year, including by the re-opposing Sevenna Star, but appeared to be suited by stepping up to this sort of distance when winning twice in Meydan this season. Needs to prove as well-suited by turf but is only rated 4lb inferior to Stradivarius on official ratings.
Has won two Listed Races but has been beaten on all four runs in Group 2 company. Despite his trainer Mark Johnston being an excellent trainer of stayers, Mildenburger’s breeding doesn’t mark him down as a horse that’s bred to excel at this trip.
Excellent horse on the all-weather, where he has won all six of the races he has contested. However, he’s been well-beaten on his two previous runs on turf and, even if he can translate his best all-weather form to grass, he still has quite a bit to find on form.
Beat Ispolini by a neck when they met at Sandown over 10-furlongs last season but flopped in The Derby on his next start and again on his final two starts of the season. He’s since left the yard of John Gosden and has had wind surgery before he makes his debut for new trainer John Ryan. Andrea Atzeni looks a positive jockey booking, but he does have questions to answer.
Finished third in last year’s St Leger, just like Stradivarius did the year before, which marks him down as a potential challenger for the staying crown this season. However, he was disappointing when beaten by two lower-rated horses on his seasonal debut. Ryan Moore takes over in the saddle, but trainer Aidan O’Brien doesn’t have a great record in the race.
Yorkshire Cup Verdict 2019
It’s hard to make a case for Sevenna Star, Mootasadir, Mildeburger, or Aircraft Carrier and, if you’re looking to take on the favourite with an each-way play, it’s a toss-up between Ispolini, Desert Skyline, and Southern France.
Ispolini is fancied to give Stradivarius most to think about but, even conceding 3lb to his rivals, it’s hard not to be sweet on the chances of a repeat success for the favourite. Normally, he might look vulnerable first-time out with bigger targets ahead, but the prospect of winning another £1 Million bonus means John Gosden will surely have him fit enough with the stable amongst the winners this week.
Admittedly, odds-on isn’t a great price, but I’ll still be investing a bit of this weekend’s beer money on him in the hope he hits all the right notes.
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Stradivarius @ 1.73 WilliamHill, Betfred[/su_service]
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