O’Brien Filly A Marvellous Bet For The Oaks
Friday sees the start of the Epsom Derby meeting, and the Oaks takes centre stage. The last 10 renewals of the fillies middle-distance classic have seen Aiden O’Brien, Ed Dunlop and Ralph Beckett train two winners each, whilst the only jockey to have ridden the winner twice in the last decade is Kieran Fallon.
O’Brien potentially saddles six runners, with Irish 1,000 Guineas winner Marvellous being supported by Bracelet, Dazzling, Palace, Tapestry and Wonderfully, whilst Beckett saddles Honour Bound and Regardez, and Dunlop saddles Amazing Maria. Meanwhile Fallon is likely to be aboard Ihtimal.
Marvellous currently heads the market and has an obvious chance after outstaying her rivals in the Irish 1,000 Guineas, whilst there’ll be many people hoping that Hughie Morrison’s March Daisy can win for jockey Jimmy Fortune, whose wife sadly passed away recently.
Marvellous win 10/3 or better
March Daisy each-way 14/1 or better
Golf – PGA Tour – St Jude Classic (Thursday-Sunday)
Next week’s US Open definitely has an effect on this week’s PGA Tour proceedings, with many of the world’s top-50 choosing to rest this week as preparation, whilst other players will be using this week’s St Jude Classic to hone the skills required to win what is often the toughest major of the season. Monday also saw some players come through the last chance saloon that is US Open qualifying, and three players that managed it where old-timers David Toms, Justin Leonard and Robert Allenby. However, whilst it’s difficult to see any of the trio competing for the title next week, the confidence gained from qualifying may motivate decent performances this week around a track where all three have performed admirably in the past.
Toms and Leonard are both duel winners here, and both have shown reasonable form of late. Toms was 5th just two starts ago, whilst Leonard has made the cut in three of his last four events.
Meanwhile, Allenby has finished in the top-13 in six of the last seven years here, four-times in the top-10 and twice in the top-5, and, despite missing the cut at Memorial last week, had finished in the top-40 on four of his previous five starts.
I doubt any of the three will actually win, but top-5 and top-10 bets on all of them may well pay dividends.
David Toms top-5 10/1 top-10 9/2
Justin Leonard top-5 30/1 top-10 11/1
Robert Allenby top-5 20/1 top-10 9/1
Golf – European Tour – Lyonness Open (Thursday – Sunday)
Joost Luiten rightfully heads the market, but 6/1 looks way to short despite his likely 100% concentration in his quest for a victory that may well secure him a Ryder Cup spot.
Next up is Bernd Wiesberger who will once more be looking to delight his home crowd having failed to defend this title last year, whilst third in Miguel Angel Jimenez is also here in his quest to make the Ryder Cup team in what will surely be the last chance for the effervescent 50-year-old.
However, despite the leading trio’s obvious claims, there looks to be some value bets elsewhere in the shape of Richard Bland and Simon Wakefield. Both have placed form here in the last few years and, whilst neither looks an obvious winner in waiting, they may sneak a top-5 or top-10 finish in a field that is lacking strength in depth.
Richard Bland 16/1 top-5 and 13/2 top-10
Simon Wakefield 25/1 top-5 and 11/1 top-10