Nassau Stakes Preview And Tip
Published on 30/07/16
The history of the Nassau Stakes (Saturday 3.10pm) dates back to 1840 when the race was named after the House of Orange Nassau, with who the then owner of Goodwood Racecourse the 5th Duke of Richmond had ties.
Originally open to only the classic generation, this 10-furlong race was opened to older horses in 1975 when it was a Group-2 race, and earned group-1 status in 1999.
Since then it has been won by ten 3-year-olds, five 4-year-olds, and two 5-year-olds, whilst Frankie Dettori is the only jockey with a ride to have won the race before (2001 and 2006). Meanwhile, 4 of the 5 trainers with runners have previously been successful, with Sir Michael Stoute notching a hat-trick between 2002 and 2004, and John Gosden repeating that feat between 2012 and 2014. Aidan O’Brien won back-to-back renewals in 2007 and 2008, and Saeed Bin Suroor won the inaugural Group-1 running in 1999.
5 Runners are set to line-up for the 2016 Nassau Stakes.
The only 4-year-old in the line-up represent Saeed Bin Suroor, and she was most impressive when winning over a similar distance at York 2 starts back. However, she was noted staying-on over 12-fulongs either side of that, and has to concede all her rivals 10lb. Wears a first-time visor.
Bids to become the first French trained winner of the race, and she won a Group-1 at Deauville earlier this season when sent off at 14/1. She then finished ninth when sent off at 20/1 in the Prix De Diane, and probably isn’t viewed as one of the better French fillies.
Defeated just once in her last six starts when the ground was soft in the Irish 2,000 Guineas. However, she has won the English 1,000 Guineas, Oaks, and the Pretty Polly Stakes, and her opponents probably need her to underperform to have any chance of beating Aidan O’Brien’s star filly.
Sir Michael Stoute has enjoyed plenty of success in this race, but this one is unlikely to add to that tally after only finishing fourth in a Listed race, then occupying the same position in the 12-furlong Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot. She was never nearer than at the line that day, and may well find this happening too quick for her.
Won a maiden and a listed race before being sent off the 4/1 second favourite for the Prix De Diane. May not have run to her full potential there in finishing eighth, and could still find plenty of improvement on her fifth run.
Nassau Stakes Summary
Minding will be popular with the big-hitters if she’s any bigger than around 1/4 and, as she will be very hard to beat. If you don’t fancy taking odds-on, then it may be worth betting on the forecast, and second place may well be fought-out between Beautiful Romance and Swiss Range, with preference for the latter who gets 10lb from the four-year-old, and could still have improvement to come.