Make The Bookies Take Cover – Horse Racing Betting

Posted February 26, 2016

By Tim @ Betting Gods

The new programme of all-weather fast-track qualifiers, that culminate in all-weather finals day, have given all-weather racing a much needed boost – and Lingfield have been rewarded today by a quality field for the Unibet Hever Sprint Stakes (Saturday 1.45), which is run over 5-furlongs.

10 runners are set to go to post – so let’s not waste any time getting to our analysis and tip.

Horse Racing Betting Tips
Muthmir 9/4

Has to concede weight all-round due to his group wins, and this classy individual could take some beating if fully wound-up after a break, however, he’s often come on for a run in the past. This is also his all-weather debut and it will be interesting to see what he makes of racing around a bend.

Move In Time 13/2

The former Prix De L-Abbaye winner’s one performance on the all-weather was a poor one, though he’s a different horse now. Weighted to close, but hard to be confident about his chances.

Gamgoon 10/1

Only rated in the 70’s when trained by harry Dunlop, and surprises many when just a neck second to Rivellino here over 6-furlongs. May be suited by drop back to 5, as he’s a winner at that trip.

Line Of Reason 10/1

Listed winner who also has winning form on the all-weather, but has 2-lengths to make-up on Muthmir and Take Cover on Goodwood form from last year. Stable’s 5 runners this month have also run averagely.

Take Cover 5/1

Kick-started his career with 3 wins at Southwell, and returned to the all-weather at Dundalk to win a listed race in October. That looked like it might have been a sighter for this, and this speedy front-runner could be hard to peg back if he can break quick enough from stall 10.

Abstraction 50/1

Hasn’t raced much recently, but boasts a second at Dundalk behind recent Meydan winner Sir Maximillian. Not rated far behind the principals, but probably needs them all to underperform to win.

Alben Star 16/1

Loves chasing a fast pace and, though he boasts a decent second behind last year’s all-weather sprint champion Pretend, his chances would have been better if the race had been over 6-furlongs.

Boom The Groom 16/1

One of only 2 course and distance winners in the field, but a mark of 97 leaves him with plenty to find, and it’s probably beyond him.

Lightcameraction 12/1

Nicely drawn for a course and distance winning front-runner, and looks sure to make a bold bid. Entitled to be thereabouts on ratings, though the likes of Muthmir, Take Cover and Move In Time have more class. Is the youngest horse in the field at the age of 4 though, so has room for improvement

Russian Soul 20/1

Held by abstraction on Dundalk form and, with a rating of 97, it’s hard to see him suddenly closing the gap at the age of eight.

Tip

Although a low-to-middle draw would have been better for Take Cover he should have the early pace to get to the front and, with doubts about the surface for both Muthmir and Move In Time, he looks the value-bet.

Take Cover @ 5/1

Published Under: UK Horse Racing /

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    Unlucky, with Take Cover, you give a very good right up for the winner. You had the main protagonists, as 123…but not in the right order, very unlucky.

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