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Lucky To Win Northumberland Plate On The Bridle
UK Horse Racing

Lucky To Win Northumberland Plate On The Bridle

It’s another great weekend of horse racing action with the Northumberland Plate taking place at Newcastle and great racing from the Curragh, the highlight of which is the Irish Derby and the rematch between Australia and Kingston Hill.

Northumberland Plate – Newcastle – Saturday

Pique Sous (who did us a big favour last week) was a surprise mid-week defection as the Willie Mullins trained horse had shortened into 4/1 favourite. It was stated that the horse was not over his Royal Ascot exertions, but Mullins may have been bending the truth slightly as it is likely he has another excellent candidate in the shape of Lucky Bridle.

The five-year-old hasn’t been in Mullins’s hands very long (previously with Christophe Ferland in France) and, given the way Mullins improves many of his French imports Lucky Bridle, he looks sure to go well.

Add in the fact that owners Graham and Andrea Wylie have a long-standing affection for the North East, and it’s easy to make a case that Lucky Bridle has been aimed firmly at this target.

The biggest danger may be Big Thunder who, though he has yet to be seen this year, improved markedly with each step up in trip last year, winning five-times. Prescott managed to win the Cambridgeshire with Chivalry on his seasonal debut, and it may be that Thunder (excuse the pun) strikes twice.

Lucky Bridle each-way 10/1 or better

Big Thunder each-way 14/1 or better

Irish Derby – Curragh – Saturday 

Australia is a best-priced 1/3 at the time of writing, you might get 2/5 in the morning, but I imagine he will go off nearer the 1/5 mark if the big-hitters know he’s as good as Aiden O’Brien says he is. Even if he’s not, he only has to see off the same horses he did at Epsom to claim the Derby double. Derby runner-up Kingston Hill adds some interest to the race, but looks destined for the forecast spot once more – unless the ground turns soft, which seems unlikely.

Forecast: Australia to beat Kingston Hill

Railway Stakes – Curragh – Saturday 

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The best bet on the Curragh card looks to come in the shape of Cappella Sansevero, and the 6/4 is a big-price for the Ger Lyons inmate to confirm his Coventry superiority over both War Envoy and Kool Kompany. There’s also a bit of a word for Ahlan Emarati and Peter Chapple Hyam’s Norfolk Stakes third may be one for each-way players.

Pretty Polly Stakes (Curragh, Sunday)

After finishing just 4½ lengths behind Cirrus Des Aigles on her last run, Ambivalent looks a great bet for this 10-furlong group-one race for fillies. The biggest danger may be Aiden O’Brien’s Irish 1,000 Guineas heroine Marvellous who gets 12lb from the older fillies.

Cappella Sansevero 6/4 or better

Grand Prix Saint Cloud (Saint Cloud, Sunday)

Two interesting form-lines clash in this group-one contest with Coronation Stakes runner-up Flintshire declared to take on Noble Mission, conqueror of both Telescope and Magician on his last two starts. The ground may determine the outcome as the former has a marked preference for firm ground, whilst the latter recent improved exploits have all come on a soft surface – so keep an eye on the weather.

Good/Firm: Flintshire

Good/soft: Noble Mission

The Outside Edge

£1,811.00 Total Profit

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£226.38

Monthly Profit

13.51%

ROI

QF Value Tips

£5,557.70 Total Profit

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£95.82

Monthly Profit

18.81%

ROI

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