Lincoln Trial Handicap & Lady Wulfruna Stakes Tips
Saturday is a big day on the all-weather at Wolverhampton, and we’ve statistics, analysis and tips for the Lincoln Trial Handicap and the Listed Lady Wulfruna Stakes.
Lincoln Trial Handicap (Wolverhampton 2.05)
- Winners have been aged 4 to 8, with four 4-year-old winning
- Winners have carried between 8-12 and 9-8, with nine carrying between 9-1 and 9-8
- 7 winners ran in the previous 6 to 21 days, whilst the other hadn’t run for 42, 152 and 175 days
- The draw has had little significance with winners being drawn anywhere from 2 to 12
- SPs have ranged from 9/4 to 14/1, but only one was returned in double-figures
Brian Ellison congests the top of the weights with Top Notch Tonto, Dream Walker and Baraweez, but the front two haven’t run for a while, and the latter was disappointing 8 days ago. Meanwhile, there are a few possibilities lurking near the foot of the weights, but it’s Holiday Magic who has the best profile. He may have been doing most of winning over 7-furlongs, but those were on the slower surfaces of Southwell and Newcastle, and this sweet traveller should last the extra distance here if ridden with more restraint, whilst he should also have the turn-of-pace if it is run slowly.
Lincoln Trial Handicap Tip
Holiday Magic, Each-Way @ 6/1 (SkyBet, William Hill, Ladbrokes, BetVictor)
Lady Wulfruna Stakes (Wolverhampton 3.15)
- Winner have been aged 4 to 8, with three 4-year-olds and four 6-year-olds winning
- No horse has carried a penalty to success
- 8 of the 21 winners ran between 8 and 21 days before. The other two hadn’t run for 176 and 263 days
- 6 of the last 10 winners came out of stalls 4 to 8, with three coming out of stall-7.
- SPs have ranged from 7/4 to 16/1, but only one winner had a double-figure SP
Just 12lb separates the 12-runners on official ratings, and the 107-rated My Target has been in scintillating form of late with 4 wins on the bounce. However, they have all been over 1-mile at Lingfield and Wolverhampton is a different ball-game, especially from a wide-draw in stall-11. Yuften is also potentially interesting but, a wider than ideal draw, 5 months off the track, and this being his Wolverhampton debut, is perhaps one unknown too many. That means Keystroke looks to have an obvious chance from a favourable draw in stall-7, and he’s won both of his previous course starts. Money for Eltezam would be interesting, but he’ll have to be good to win this after 611 days off the track.
Lady Wulfruna Stakes Tip
Keystroke, Win @ 9/4 (Bet365, SkyBet, William Hill, Ladbrokes)