Lillie Langtry Stakes Trends [Plus FREE Tip]
The Group 2 Lillie Langtry Stakes (Saturday 3 August, 3.00pm) is one of the highlights of the fifth and final day of the Qatar Goodwood Festival. It takes place over 14-furlongs and is restricted to fillies and mares aged three and older. It was established in 2003 and its most notable winner is Simple Verse, who also won the St Leger.
Check out 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the Lillie Langtry Stakes 2019.
Lillie Langtry Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2019
In fields of between seven and 13 runners in the last decade, no winner of the Lillie Langtry Stakes has been drawn higher than stall-six, with the last five winners being drawn no higher than stall-four. 4-year-olds have won half of the last 10 editions, with two 3-year-olds, two 5-year-olds, and one 7-year-old also successful. Five winners had won last time out, whilst three finished second, and two finished unplaced. Winners had enjoyed gaps between their last race of as little as 12 days and as long as 350 days. No penalised runner has won the race in the last decade.
Only the late Sir Henry Cecil has trained more than one winner in the last 10 years. Seven winners were returned at odds no bigger than 6/1, but three were returned at double-figure prices.
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Lillie Langtry Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
The joint highest-rated filly on a mark of 108 but she has to carry a 3lb penalty, something she didn’t have to do when beating the re-opposing Dramatic Queen over 12-furlongs on her last run. She was also outstayed by that rival over today’s trip on her penultimate run, but she is the better drawn of the pair here in stall-four, and is one of only two course winners in the field.
Officially rated 1lb lower than Enbihaar but receives 3lb from her old rival here. That means she should come out on top, especially as she beat that filly off level-weights over this trip at York earlier in the season. Danny Tudhope rode her that day, but James Doyle is back on board and he’s won on her all three occasions he’s ridden her. The stats suggest her draw in stall-seven is a disadvantage, but it may not hinder her too much with just seven runners set to go to post.
Won the 2018 edition of the Lillie Langtry Stakes as a 3-year-old and ended last season rated 108. However, her mark has fallen to 102 this season after three runs, which suggests she has something to find with both Dramatic Queen and Enbihaar, having finished behind the pair at York. Needs the return to Goodwood to bring her back to her best.
The first of three Aidan O’Brien-trained 3-year-olds in today’s field but this one looks to have a tough task with her best performance being a win in a handicap off a mark of 84. She’s now rated 88 but, as that leaves her with 20lb to find with the principals, she may be a possible pacemaker for her two higher-rated stablemates.
Manuela De Vega
The highest-rated of the four 3-year-olds in the line-up and she earned that rating by finishing fourth in the Epsom Oaks and fifth in the Irish Oaks. However, the form of the middle-distance fillies from this year’s classic generation has an inconclusive look to it regarding how good they are, but she still looks the most likely of the 3-year-olds to succeed.
The second of the Aidan O’Brien-trained runners and she has run well three times in Ireland this season, with her best performance coming when winning a Group 3 on her only try at today’s trip. However, she has been well-beaten on both her forays to England this season, and again performed poorly in the Irish Oaks last time. She has a better chance upped in trip, but it’s hard to recommend her with any confidence with Andrea Atzeni an unusual jockey booking for the stable.
South Sea Pearl
The third of Aidan O’Brien’s trio and she looks the most fancied of them with Ryan Moore taking the ride. Despite that, she only beat a 95-rated rival last time and had been beaten over this trip by Peach Tree the time before. She’s entitled to still be improving after just five runs but probably needs to take another big step forward to win this.
Lillie Langtry Stakes Verdict 2019
Only time will tell if this year’s 3-year-old middle-distance fillies are any good, but the gut-felling is they’re only average. Aidan O’Brien’s three runners must be respected, tactically, with Flowering Peach a possible pacemaker for Peach Tree and South Sea Pearl, with the latter the choice of Ryan Moore. Despite that, Manuela De Vega is the highest-rated 3-year-old.
Last year’s winner Pilaster is also respected back at the scene of her greatest triumph, but she has a few pounds to find with Enbihaar who has also won at Goodwood. But Enbihhar must overcome her penalty, and the form book suggests she has it all to do with Dramatic Queen, who beat her at York over today’s trip and is 3lb better off. The only negative concerning Dramatic Queen is her wide draw, but James Doyle gets on great with this filly and she’s taken to outstay her rivals in the closing stages.
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Dramatic Queen @ 2.75 Ladbrokes, Betvictor, Paddy Power
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