Lennox Stakes Trends & Preview [Plus FREE Tip]
The Lennox Stakes (Tuesday 30 July) is one of the highlights of the opening day of the Qatar Goodwood Festival. Established in 2000, it is a Group 2 race open to horses aged three and older and is run over 7 furlongs. Notable winners include Observatory, Paco Boy, and Toormore.
Check out 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the Lennox Stakes 2019.
Lennox Stakes 10-Year-Trends
Nine of the last 10 winners of the Lennox Stakes were drawn in single-figure stalls, but the 2017 winner came from stall-15. That was the 2017 winner Breton Rock who was also a 7-year-old, two years older than any of the other winners in the last decade.
It’s therefore not a shock that Breton Rock won as an unconsidered 50/1 outsider, but he was the anomaly as the other nine winners were returned no bigger than 7/1. Only one of those winners had won their last race but nine had finished no worse than fourth on their previous run, which came between 10 and 41 days earlier.
[wbcr_snippet id=”16312″ title=”Free Horse Racing Tips”]
Lennon Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
David Simcock’s 2017 winner of this race may be a 9-year-old but, after that shock 50/1 win, he also ran a terrific race to be beaten just a neck in third last year. He looked regressive towards the end of last season and has been beaten between 2 and 8½ lengths in three runs this season but, if he’s going to return to his best this year, it’s probably going to be in a race he loves.
Normally finds a few too good nowadays and has been beaten three times at a lower level already this season. However, he did run well when fourth in the 2018 edition when caught close home after Oisin Murphy had tried to make the most of his six-furlong speed. Silvestre De Sousa takes the reigns today but he’s 0 from 4 on him.
Normally wins or flops but he’s won five of his last 12 races including a Listed Race last time. One of his best wins also came in a handicap over course and distance at last year’s Qatar Goodwood Festival, when he beat the useful Cape Byron. He’s yet to win after a sizeable absence, so 251 days off the track must be a worry but, as he’s owned by professional gambler Tony Bloom, any money for him would be interesting.
Promising 2-year-old, who disappointed at three, but has enjoyed dropping back to seven furlongs this season to win a Listed race and a Group 3. He didn’t get the best of runs last time in Ireland, but was beaten by a former classic winner there, and he could take a shine to Goodwood as he likes to race up with the pace. Frankie Dettori looks like a positive jockey booking.
Had won two of his six races coming into this race last year when beating the re-opposing Suedois, Breton Rock, and Donjuan Triumphant after meeting trouble in running. Not so good in his two runs this year but can be forgiven those performances over a mile in a Group 1 and then on soft ground. Could return to his best but his stable are struggling for winners.
Speak In Colours
Improving 4-year-old that finished in front of some useful sprinters when fourth in a Group 1 race over six-furlongs at Royal Ascot. Made hard work of beating some poorer rivals next time and steps up to seven-furlongs for the first time from stall-three.
Consistent 8-year-old that has finished in the first four in his last 11 races at Group 2 level or lower yet has still to win a race in England (won a Group 2 in Ireland). Deserves to get his head in front in a big one but more likely to be placed in a race in which he finished second to Sir Dancelot last year.
Tried at up to 10 furlongs as a 3-year-old but has matured into a decent miler this year. Drops again in trip here but he didn’t look short of pace when just getting outstayed over a mile at Ascot last time by Beat The Bank. Beat Suedois 1½ lengths that day and should go close if getting a clear run from a potentially tricky draw in stall-10.
Five-time winner at up to Group 3 level and the soft ground was the excuse for her flopping at Royal Ascot. That was also her first run at a mile, and she should be suited by this drop-in trip over a course and distance she’s won over. Nicely drawn in stall-four but has a few pounds of improvement to find on official ratings.
The only 3-year-old in this year’s field and he seemed to relish every yard of the seven-furlong trip when winning the Jersey Stakes last time. He came from a long way back that day and, though he’ll need a clear run, he could be the type to slot in at the back from stall-8 and come late and hard to challenge in the middle of the course at Goodwood.
Lennox Stakes Verdict 2019
This isn’t an easy race to totally discount any of the 10 runners, but Breton Rock, Donjuan Triumphant, Flaming Spear, and Pretty Baby to have a few pounds to find.
Hey Gaman looks the only potential front-runner and that could mean Frankie Dettori will be able to set his own fractions. A steadily run race could make it difficult for the likes of Zaaki, Space Traveller, Suedois, and Sir Dancelot to come from behind.
That means the horse that could emerge as the biggest danger is Speak In Colours. He travels well, has the pace to win at six-furlongs, is completely unexposed at 7-furlongs, and his trainer Joseph O’Brien has booked the impressive Wayne Lordan to ride.
[su_service title=”Free Tip For The 2019 Lennox Stakes” icon=”icon: tipeee” icon_color=”#FA6B03″ size=”30″]
Speak In Colours @ 12.00 (Each-Way) Paddy Power
[wbcr_php_snippet id=”16172″ title=”Three Top Tipsters”]