Join The Stampede To Back Buffalo

Posted February 20, 2016

By Tim @ Betting Gods

There are no overriding statistics for the race (14:40 Haydock), with neither age nor weight-carried having any particular bearing, whilst no trainer or jockey have monopolised the race in recent years either.

Instead, it looks a case of simply finding the horse best suited to how the race will pan out, so here’s our analysis of the race and tip.

Grand National
Cloudy Too 5/1

Won last month’s Peter Marsh Chase over 3-miles off a mark of 137 carrying 10-4. However, he now has to overcome top-weight and a mark of 149, and the extra half-mile of this race isn’t guaranteed to suit.

Bishops Road 8/1

Impressive debut win over 2½ miles for new and in-form trainer Kerry Lee, but the form of that race doesn’t look overly strong, and has a 14lb higher mark to contend with this time. An unknown quantity over this trip, and hard to gauge.

Mountainous 4/1

Won his second Welsh National off the identical mark he won his first one off, but went up 10lb for that victory and he’s never won off this high a mark in the past. Also flopped in this race last year off a 5lb lower mark.

Broadway Buffalo 6/1

Couse winner over both hurdles and fences, and strongly fancied for last year’s renewal when falling. Proved his stamina since by finishing second in the National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, and when sixth in the Scottish Grand National. Katie Walsh, who rode him at Cheltenham, is an interesting jockey booking.

Gas Line Boy 5/1

Impressive course winner off 8lb lower mark in 2014, and fourth in last year’s renewal off a 2lb higher mark. Swapped stables before the start of the season, but was going well at a big price when falling behind Cloudy Too last time, and is much better off at the weights.

Rigadin De Beauchene 7/1

The winner in 2014 and runner-up in 2013, both off 131, and carries just 2lb more this time despite winning here in December off 127. Was pulled-up in the 2015 renewal, but was out-of-form at the time, and was on a mark of 138. Likely to go well if fall at Warwick hasn’t dented his enthusiasm or confidence.

Harry The Viking 10/1

Finds winning hard, but runner-up to Lie Forritt in last year’s renewal off a 4lb lower mark. However, has been placed twice at the course since off similar marks to today’s and looks to have been layed out for the race again.

Minella On Line 25/1

Remains 11lb higher than his last win, and hard to make a case for with his stable out of form, unless carrying a low-weight proves a massive advantage.

Tip

Gas Line Boy and Rigadin De Beauchene should make sure this is run at a decent pace, and that should ideally suit Broadway Buffalo who, at the age of eight, still looks to have improvement to come over staying distances. He’s already proved his stamina, and a liking for the course, and Katie Walsh is quite adept at holding a horse up for a late run.

Broadway Buffalo @ 6/1 (Betfair Sportbook)

Published Under: UK Horse Racing /

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