It’s The MBNA Chester Vase Stakes 2019
Published on 07/05/19
The Chester Vase (Wednesday 8 May, 3.35pm) is a popular trial for The Derby. It takes place at Chester over 1 mile 4 furlongs and 63 yards and is a Group 3 Race. It first took place in 1907 and Henbit and Shergar are two famous horses that won the race before going on to win the biggest race of all. More recently, Wings Of Eagles was second in the race before going one better at Epson in June.
Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the 2019 Chester Vase Stakes.
Chester Vase Stakes 10-Year-Trends
The draw tends to have a huge influence on races at Chester and no winner of the Chester Vase in the last 10-years has been drawn any higher than stall-five, though two editions in which the winners were drawn in stall-five were only contested by five and six runners.
The last six winners have had between just one and three runs prior to winning the race and all six had won their last race. Five of those six winners had also had a prep race between 18 and 32 days prior to their success.
Aidan O’Brien has, amazingly, trained seven of the last 10 winners of the Chester Vase, with Ryan Moore riding the last six of those to success. The last six winners have also been returned at odds no bigger than 10/3, though two 8/1 shots and a 25/1 outsider won in the four years before that.
Chester Vase Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019
Trained by local trainer Tom Dascombe, who has had lots of runners and winners at this meeting over the last few years. Despite disappointing on his seasonal reappearance, this one certainly has a chance, and it’s worth remembering that he was backed into favouritism that day but fluffed the start. Stall seven could be wider than ideal though if he’s as slowly away here.
Likeable sort that is sired by the excellent middle-distance performer Nathaniel, which suggests he could be suited by today’s step-up in trip to 12-furlongs for the first time. However, he does have some ground to make up with the re-opposing King Ottokar on their Newbury form. Drawn four.
Bred to make an excellent three-year-old as he’s by Dubawi out of Sky Lantern, and despite that breeding suggesting he may be better at slightly shorter distances, he wasn’t stopping at the end of 10-furlongs when winning on his seasonal debut. He does look to be Aidan O’Brien’s third-string on jockey bookings, but Wayne Lordan did ride the 1,000 Guineas winner on Sunday. Drawn two.
Has the best of the draw in stall-one but may lack the tactical pace to take advantage of it judged on his third behind King Ottokar and Dashing Willoughby. However, he’s had just two runs so far in his career and should be suited by today’s trip.
Expensive purchase for his young trainer and has repaid some of the outlay of his connections with two wins from three runs so far. However, those wins both came on soft ground, and he was well-beaten behind Saturday’s 2,000 Guineas winner Magna Grecia on better ground in between those runs. Drawn five.
Had five runs last season, with his highest success coming at Listed Level. He also ran well when fourth in a Group 1 over 10 furlongs on his final start in Group 1 company. Both his breeding and run-style suggest he’ll be a decent three-year-old over middle-distances this season and Ryan Moore rides him for the first time. Drawn six.
Was a completely unfancied 14/1 shot when making his debut 13 days ago and is bidding to follow in the footsteps of stablemates US Army Ranger and Rule The World by winning this after being unraced as a two-year-old. However, the form of that win doesn’t look very strong as the second horse had been beaten further on his first two starts. He’s also drawn widest of all in stall-eight.
Won the second of his three starts over today’s trip and perhaps not suited to dropping to 10-furlongs in a Group 3 last time. Could run a solid race with Frankie Dettori in the saddle from stall three.
Chester Chase Verdict 2019
Aidan O’Brien again showed his mastery when winning both the 2,000 and 1,000 Guineas last weekend and his record in this race suggests the opposition will have to improve to win this year’s edition of the Chester Vase.
O’Brien has teamed-up to win six of the last eight editions with Ryan Moore in the saddle and Norway will probably go off favourite with Moore riding for the first time here. However, Norway is drawn wider than any of the last 10 winners in stall-six and Moore didn’t choose the right O’Brien horse in either of this year’s Guineas. The Donnacha O’Brien-ridden Sir Dragonet is also drawn wider than ideal in stall-eight.
That’s why it could be worth giving an each-way chance to the beautifully-bred Gentile Bellini. His draw in stall-two could be ideal as he put up a bold show from the front when winning on his seasonal debut and similar tactics here should be perfect.
[su_service title=”Free Tip For The MBNA Chester Vase Stakes 2019″ icon=”icon: tipeee” icon_color=”#FA6B03″ size=”30″]Gentile Bellini (3 Places Each-Way) @ 10.00 WilliamHill, Bet365, SkyBet, Boylesports, Betway[/su_service]
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