Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes Preview
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes Preview

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Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes Preview

Posted July 10, 2019 | By Tim @ Betting Gods

The Irish Stallions Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes (Thursday 11 July) is a Group 3 Race run at Leopardstown Racecourse over 14-furlongs. The 2019 edition is part of the Bulmers Live at Leopardstown Racing & Music Festivals Days, and racegoers can listen to the Galway-based band “The Stunning” after racing.

Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes 2019.

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes 10-Year-Trends

Winners of the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes in the last decade have been as old as seven, but three-year-olds have won the last four runnings. Only three runners had won their previous race, but only one had finished worse than third on their previous start. Nine of the 10 winners had run between 10 and 60 days prior to success.

Dermot Weld trained four consecutive winners between 2009 and 2012, and he trained the 2014 winner. Aidan O’Brien trained the 2015 and 2017 winners, both with Seamie Heffernan in the saddle, whilst Joseph O’Brien trained the winner in 2016.

Favourites have a brilliant record in the race, with the nine winning favourites in the last 10 winners returned at odds of between 2/5 and 7/4, whilst the other winner was only 5/1.

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide 2019

Cimeara

Trained by Jim Bolger when winning this race as a 3-year-old in 2018, and was transferred to his current trainer Joseph O’Brien after winning for a second time over course and distance afterwards. Beat Who’s Steph on her first run for O’Brien but has been down the field in two harder races since. Could bounce back returned to her favourite course and distance, but has to end the good run of 3-year-olds in the race.

Jaega

Has 12lb to find with the top-rated horse, who gave her 3lb and a beating over this distance at Gowran Park earlier in the season, but she is trained by Dermot Weld. Hard to see her reversing that form unless improving for a return to faster ground, and her only win came on heavy ground.

Moteo

Also rated 12lb below the likely favourite True Self. She’s also been beaten twice by Who’s Steph this season, which suggests she’ll also struggle to beat Cimeara.

True Self

6-year-old that has improved rapidly on the flat this season for trainer Willie Mullins on ground ranging from good to soft, winning four consecutive races before being caught late on heavy ground last time. Needs to prove she can handle faster conditions here, but should prove hard to beat if equally as good on it.

Flowering Peach

The first of four Aidan O’Brien trained 3-year-olds in the line-up, but she shouldn’t be winning this as she’s rated just 84. She’s also only won a maiden and flopped in a Listed Race last time.

Peach Tree

Rated the highest of the Aidan O’Brien quartet, but she was still a big flop in both the Oaks and at Royal Ascot this season. However, she also flopped at Doncaster as a 2-year-old and it may be that she’s just a poor traveller. Not far off the best of these judged on her run behind Who’s Step and, whilst she doesn’t look to be crying out for further, she may get this new trip if held up for a late run rather than being ridden prominently.

Simply Beautiful

Beaten in her first four runs in maidens at up to 10-furlongs and dropped back to a mile to get off the mark last time. That suggests she may not benefit from this huge step up in distance and her rating and jockey booking suggest she’s the least likely winner from the Aidan O’Brien runners.

South Sea Pearl

After just three runs, she’s the least experienced filly in the fields, so she could have the most improvement to come. Her win last time over 12-furlongs, where she stayed on powerfully in the latter stages on good ground, also suggests she will benefit from a further step-up in trip. She is rated 8lb inferior to Peach Tree, but the booking of Seamie Heffernan suggests she’s fancied to improve past her stablemate.

Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Stanerra Stakes Verdict 2019

Jaega, Moteo, Flowering Peach, and Simply Beautiful all have a significant amount to find on ratings and will be surprise winners. Cimeara is respected as she’s two from two over course and distance, but she’s rated 7lb inferior to True Self, and the Willie Mullins-trained runner is a worthy favourite. The negative is she’s a 6-year-old and the three-year-olds have dominated this race in recent years.

Aidan O’Brien trains all four of the 3-year-olds this time, and Peach Tree could easily go close after two good runs in Ireland already under her belt this season. However, it could be significant that Seamie Heffernen rides South Sea Pearl, as he rode O’Brien’s winners of this race in 2015 and 2017. South Sea Pearl’s win last time also suggested today’s trip will suit her well, and she’s given the chance to take a significant step forward on just her fourth run.

Free Tip For The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes
South Sea Pearl @ 7.00 Bet365, Coral
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