Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas Analysis
18:40 at Curragh Racecourse on 12th June
Aidan O’Brien has won five of the last 10 editions of the Irish 2,000 Guineas and he saddles six of the 11 runners in this year’s renewal, but the likely favourite is Siskin.
Siskin comes into the race with the only 100% win-record after four victories, three of which come at the Curragh. But as only four of the last 10 winners had won last time out, his rivals won’t be shaking in their horseshoes. He’s also won over as far as 6-furlongs so far, and there are doubts about him staying the mile with plenty of speed on his dam’s side. Trainer Ger Lyons has also never won the Irish 2,000 Guineas before.
I’m inclined to take Siskin on, but the problem is picking which of the six Aidan O’Brien runners to do it with. Ryan Moore has opted to stay in England, so Seamie Heffernan may well have had the pick of O’Brien’s sextet and he rides Lope Y Fernandez. He twice finished placed behind Pinatubo last season and is 2 from 2 at the Curragh. The problem is only one winner in the last decade has been drawn wider than stall-6.
Drawn one stall wider in 10 is Monarch Of Egypt but, while that may scupper his chances, he twice finished close behind Siskin last season. He also isn’t ridden by any of O’Brien’s usual three Classic-winning jockeys.
Padraig Beggy has ridden two classic winners for O’Brien, and he rides Vatican City. He’s prominent in the betting for a horse that has only won a race at Dundalk, but maybe he’s showing the improvement connections prayed he would.
Armory in the hands of Wayne Lordan from stall-4 looks a more solid bet. He’s won twice here at the Curragh and wasn’t disgraced when also second to Pinatubo here in a Group 1. His ¾-length second to recent French 2,000 Guineas winner Victor Ludorum at Longchamp over a mile also reads well.