Hungerford Stakes Trends & Analysis [inc FREE Tip]
Published on 16/08/19
The 2019 Hungerford Stakes (Saturday 17 August, 3.35pm) is the highlight of Newbury’s Madness After Racing Meeting. This Group 2 race was established in 1949 and is run over 7-furlongs on the straight course.
Recent notable winners include Paco Boy, Excelebration, and Lethal Force.
Check out our 10-year-trends, runner-by-runner guide, and free tip for the Hungerford Stakes 2019.
Hungerford Stakes 10-Year-Trends
4-year-olds have won five of the last six editions of the Hungerford Stakes, with four 3-year-olds and one 6-year-old also successful in the last 10 years. The last 10 winners have all been drawn between stall-two and stall-six, and have carried weights ranging from 8-11 to 9-9.
Only one of the last 10 winners had won their previous race, with another four finishing second or third, and five finishing fifth or worse. Favourites don’t have a great record, with just one winner returned at less than 3/1, whilst four winners were returned at double-figure odds. David Elsworth is the only trainer with a runner to have won the race in the last decade.
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Hungerford Stakes Runner-By-Runner Guide
Last year’s winner returns as a 5-year-old but comes into the race having again won the Lennox Stakes at Goodwood on his previous run. He’s drawn three stalls wider in stall-seven this year, which may not be ideal. Any further softening of the ground may also be against him, as he didn’t run up to his best at Newbury on soft ground in 2017. He did carry a 3lb penalty to victory last year but it leaves him worse off with a few rivals than he would be if it was a handicap.
This 6-year-old has won at 7-furlongs but 6-furlongs on soft or heavy ground is his optimum trip. He tried to use his pace to blitz a trail at Goodwood last time but faded to finishing eighth behind Sir Dancelot. Unlikely to suddenly find the necessary improvement needed to win this Group 2.
Has already won a handicap off a mark of 104 and a Listed race this season, but his current mark of 109 leaves him with a few pounds to find. That was confirmed when he finished fifth behind Sir Dancelot at Goodwood and this 7-year-old probably needs a few of the others to underperform.
This 4-year-old found everything happening too fast in the July Cup over 6-furlongs last time but he ran a cracking race over 7-furlongs when beaten just a neck by Limato on his penultimate start. However, a line through the third Sudeois suggests that he has something to find with both Sir Dancelot and Hey Gaman.
This 4-year-old has been a model of consistency this year, winning a Listed race and a Group 3 on his first two starts. He then found only Romanised too good in a Group 2 on his third start and that horse franked the form by winning a Group 1 next time. Hey Gaman also finished second to Sir Dancelot at Goodwood and has every chance of taking his revenge on 3lb better terms. The only negative is his drawn in stall-eight.
Won the Champions Sprint at Ascot in 2017 but has shown now worthwhile form for a while. He returns from a break of 280 days and connections will have had to work a miracle to bring this 7-year-old back to the peak of his powers.
This 6-year-old has won at a variety of tracks but has recorded his last five wins over 7-furlongs at Haydock. He finished half-a-length behind Hey Gaman at the Curragh last time and he looks sure to go close, whilst he’ll appreciate every drop of rain that falls.
The only 3-year-old in the field didn’t look anything special over six-furlongs but he looked an improved performer when getting up late to win the Jersey Stakes on the straight track at Ascot. He didn’t appear to like Goodwood when finishing nearly four-length behind Sir Dancelot at Goodwood but it wouldn’t be a shock if he went close today back over a straight 7-furlongs.
Hungerford Stakes Summary 2019
Librisa Breeze needs to find his old form, whilst fellow oldies Donjuan Triumphant and Flaming Spear also needs to scale new heights in the twilights of their careers. The lightly-raced Safe Voyage and last year’s winner Sir Dancelot are harder to exclude on age-grounds, but no horse older than four has won this race in the last nine years.
Hey Gaman looks the obvious one on 3lb better terms with Sir Dancelot and he’ll be hard to keep out of the frame. However, he only half-a-length in hand of Glorious Journey on a line through Sudeois, and he’s drawn in stall-eight.
That’s why it could be worth chancing Space Traveller each-way now he gets to race on a straight course over 7-furlongs. Big-priced horses that ran unplaced last time often win this race, and the wide expanses of Newbury will give jockey Danny Tudhope plenty of time to find the best route before hopefully finishing fast to claim the spoils.
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Space Traveller (Each-way) @ 17.00 Skybet, Ladbrokes, Betvictor
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