Expert Guides : How To Choose A Bet
Published on 17/05/16
Making money from betting on horses will never be an exact science, but there are lots of methods which can highlight potential winners – and, ultimately, allow you to select a horse you want to bet on.
Below are some of the most common selection methods.
The most obvious way of selecting a horse is to be an astute follower of the form book, and to work out which races are stronger than others. This takes a lot of time and effort – but, if you find some seriously strong form-lines, you can really reap the dividends. Collateral form is also a big part of this process, and using horses that have run against several other horses as a marker can pinpoint winners.
Some tipsters, however, will dismiss the formbook altogether, and base their analysis purely on the times that the horses in a race have recorded. However, this also requires a lot of studying as each race needs to be compared to other races on the same card to compile accurate speed figures. Meanwhile, small-field races and big-field races are often run at different speeds, and this needs factoring into your thought process when horses appear next time.
Pace Of The Race
As mentioned above, predicting the pace at which a race will be run at can often allow you to highlight which horses it will suit. This is impossible to do for all races, and therefore it’s important to try and work out which horses will go from the front, and the speed figures they are capable of producing. A fast run race will often be too much for horses with a sprint finish who like coming off a slow pace, whilst some horses are crying-out for an end-to-end gallop.
Horses, just like people, have different attributes in regard to strength and speed, but they often fall into two main categories. There are strong horses who perhaps aren’t the quickest but, in the right grade, they are perfectly capable of carrying a big weight against horses that haven’t got too much natural speed for them. At the opposite end of the scale, there are horses who are capable of running quick who are often bogged down by having to carry a big-weight – hence the reason that many high-class handicaps (especially over jumps) are won by the horses at the bottom end of the weights.
Big-name jockeys booked for horses they don’t usually ride are obvious pointers but, at the other end of the scale, a horse that slipped to its last winning handicap mark and suddenly gets ridden by a promising claimer is also well worth taking note of.
Trainer form comes and goes, though backing a horse from a stable completely out of form is a risky business, whilst even the most inform trainer can’t make a donkey win. It’s also worth noting if trainers target specific meetings, as horses are often trained with one big race in mind. A Trainer doesn’t need to have lots of ones next to their name to be inform either, and big-priced place horses often go unnoticed but are great pointers to the chances of a trainer’s better fancied horses.
Here at Betting Gods, we understand just how hard it is to find the time enough time to consider these many factors, which is why making a regular profit from horseracing can be difficult. No method is fool-proof, but Betting Gods tipsters spend hours analysing these factors – which is how they manage to make long-term profits!