Horses To Follow In 2020 – Part One
With no racing I have decided to put out a few horses to follow for the flat season ahead in the hope that we get racing at some stage. I’ll add a couple every few days across the next week or so. They’ll be slightly more left field than your standard yearly ‘horses to follow’ list which would generally consist of a host of impressive maiden/novice winners from top yards. As always if I do perceive them to be value then they’ll be sent on either one of my two services, Quentin Franks Racing or QF Value Tips
One Last Hug (Jim Goldie) 5g rated 39
Modest 10 race maiden who has show little ability to date. Sole start he did show some semblance of ability came on heavy ground which isn’t a surprise given he’s by gun mud loving sire Orientor. Bred to appreciate a trip on the dam side and siblings all stayed very well. He kept on strongly at Ayr after finding trouble in the run and was never stronger than at the line shaping as if a long trip would bring about significant improvement. He’ll be forced to run from out of the handicap wherever he runs but I feel this will be more than factored into his pricing.
Stagiaire (Ralph Beckett) 3f rated 69
By a sire in Sea The Moon who really put’s stamina into his stock, no surprise that she improved for a half mile step up in trip when coming third at Lingfield last time out. What is a surprise is that she has been left on the same mark (69) that she went into the race on. Not for the first time clocked a figure that suggests she’s a good deal better than that mark. She appears more of a grinder than a traveller and may be seen in a better light once racing on turf which is something she has yet to do in five starts.Headgear may be enlisted next time out as she did race a tad lazily at various stages but it may well have been course related as the tight nature of Lingfield isn’t for everyone.
Cozone (Amanda Perrett) 3c
A good looking type who is bred to improve with time and distance and looks just the type to take a large step forward from a debut that wasn’t devoid of promise. Posted 3 deep throughout at Kempton from a poor draw, pushed up and made his ground in an inefficient manor before fading in the final furlong. He shaped as if the run would do him the world of good and was carrying a fair bit of condition for the race.
Moomba (Amanda Perrett) 3c
Half brother to stables group three winner Lavender’s Blue and out of a group three winning dam in Beatrice Aurore. Showed ample on debut in a race that I feel will work out long term. By a sire in Australia who’s progeny improve with racing and generally take large steps forward from 1st to 2nd run. He was much better than the 8th place finish on debut, running green at various stages, finding ample trouble in the straight and finishing with running left. With step up in trip bound to suit based on breeding and natural expected progression from 1st to 2nd run he should have no season in picking up a moderate maiden.