Coneygree really did prove agreeable with our horse racing tips last week as, expected, he hacked up against some seasoned campaigners.
I hope you all took the early 5/1, as suggested, as it returned a tasty 14points profit on the day.
This week, a maximum 13 runners are declared for the Betfred Grand National Trial (2.55pm on Sat 14th Feb) but, with top-weight Benvolio rated just 145, it’s quite a low standard and tricky renewal of the 3 mile 4 furlong event. However, we’ve done our big-race analysis to come up with some sporting horse racing tips for you.
The top-weight won at the course over 3-miles in January of last year and has since proven his stamina for this by finishing second in this season’s Welsh National. He carried over 11-0 in both those runs, and Noel Fehily is booked to ride for the first time.
Won the 3-mile Peter Marsh Chase in January in bottomless conditions carrying just 10-5, but has to carry 11-11 here off what is his highest ever mark. Should stay though.
Monbeg Dude 13/2
6lb higher than his last winning mark, and didn’t really seem to appreciate the tight nature of Haydock’s track last year, but does have a touch of class.
Gas Line Boy 12/1
Won two lower class races in November off much lower marks than he runs off here, but is proven over the course and distance.
Trustan Times 12/1
Only once raced over further than 3-miles, when finishing 3rd in the Scottish National off a 7lb lower mark. Never looked the most natural jumper of a fence, but may appreciate the slightly slower pace of a race of this nature – and interesting that he tackles an extended distance for just the second time in this valuable prize.
Up 7lb for finishing second to Samstown last time, but at least proved he handled the course and looked like he might appreciate the step-up in trip.
Lie Forrit 16/1
Reasonably handicapped on some form, but shouldn’t be getting any better as an 11-year-old. Won a couple of fair races over 26 and 27 furlongs at Kelso recently and the distance should suit. He’s also got decent form over hurdles her, and his trainer also won the race twice with Silver By Nature.
Rigadin De Beauchene 10/1
Run twice at Haydock, finishing 1st and 2nd in the last two renewals of this event. He’s also 7lb higher in the handicap but is sure to have been laid out for this contest once more by his shrewd trainer.
Broadway Buffalo 10/1
Two runs at the course over 3-miles have resulted in two wins, and travelled like a dream when winning here last time. The extra distance could bring about further improvement, but is 8lb higher in the handicap than his last win.
Won the 2013 Welsh National off a 5lb lower mark, but hasn’t shown much since – and has no course form to recommend him.
Trained, like Rigadin Beauchene, by Venetia Williams but can’t really make any sort of case for him except that he carries a low-ish weight.
Loch Ba 20/1
Finished 30 lengths behind Rigadin De Beauchene when third behind that rival last year, but is 9lb better off.
Harry The Viking 20/1
Well handicapped on old form and gets in off bottom-weight after finishing runner-up behind Lie Forrit last-time. No course form though and isn’t guaranteed to enjoy the extra half-a-mile.
I confess I usually like to back a lightly-weighted horse in these types of event, but this year the light-weights are quite hard to make a case for.
Meanwhile, top-weight Benvolio is trained by Saturday big-race maestro Paul Nicholls but looks a little short, whilst Samstown and Benbens both carried low-weights when fighting out the finish of the Peter marsh Chase here last month.
Rigadin Beauchene is something of a race specialist but the ground may not be as soft as either of the two renewals he ran in, nor may it be soft enough for Broadway Buffalo, whilst Gas Line Boy might be in the handicappers grip, and Monbeg Dude didn’t appear to like the track last year.
That leaves us with Trustan Times and Lie Forrit who might relish the trip, should handle any ground, and have decent snippets of course form. They’re priced-up at 12/1 and 16/1, meaning we can get back them both each-way and get our money back if either get placed.
2.5 points each-way Trustan Times @ 12/1
2.5 points each-way Lie Forrit @ 16/1