The Racing Post Trophy (15:45 Doncaster) is the last big 2-year-old race of the year, and the last 10 winners have gone on to win 4 classics between them with 2012 winner Camelot winning both the 2,000 Guineas and the Derby, whilst 2006 winner Authorized also won the Derby, and 2013 winner Kingston Hill won the St Leger.
It’s run over the straight Doncaster mile and, whilst Aiden O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 10 winners, plenty of other smaller trainers have landed the Group-1 contest.
This year 7 runners are set to go to post – so here’s our analysis and tip.
Winner of all 3 of his races at similar odds to today’s, and the deserved favourite on the form of his ¾ length Group-2 Royal Lodge victory over Deauville. He’s been well-backed since the ante-post market opened, and the Gosden stable remain in great form with 4 winners from their last 10 runners.
The son of Galileo may have lost his unbeaten record the Royal Lodge, but only 4 of the last 10 winners were unbeaten, and he stayed on stoutly there in the manner of a horse who should definitely appreciate a race in which there may be more emphasis on stamina.
Johannes Vermeer 9/1
It’s hard to know what to make of his 4th in a French Group-1 on Arc day, but he looks the O’Brien stable’s second string on jockey bookings.
The form of his Newcastle Maiden win doesn’t suggest he’s up to winning this, but it’s interesting that traine Peter Chapple-Hyam pitches him in here, as he won the race with Authorized in 2006.
Mengli Khan 7/1
Classic winning trainer Hugo Palmer has been talking his inmate up all week, and he could be interesting if the forecast rain turns the ground soft, as he’s already proved he can handle those conditions. His stable have also been among the winners this week.
Port Douglas 25/1
Won the Group-2 Beresford last time out, which 2 of Aidan O’Brien’s winners have used as a stepping stone to success here. However ratings and jockey bookings suggest he’s the stable’s third string, and it will be interesting to see if he’s uses as a pacemaker.
Tony Curtis 10/1
Film star looks may be useful in life, but you can’t act your way to success in a Group-1. Looks short of this class, and stable out of form.
It’s hard to knock Foundation but, at the prices, I’ll take Deauville to deliver as it looks like his stable may well adopt tactics that will bring this well-bred colt’s stamina into play.
Deauville @ 7/2 (Various)