Horse Racing Tips: Bet Bright – Bet Ballinvarrig
I hope you were all on 16/1 selection Lie Forrit last week, and made yourself a nice juicy 45 points profit on the BetFair Grand National Trial.
This week our attention focuses on the BetBright Chase (3.45pm Kempton, Saturday) which is run at Kempton over 3-miles and 18 fences.
The last 10 runnings highlight that weight carried hasn’t been of any particular importance, with six horses carrying 11-0 or over and four horses carrying 1-13 or under. Two top-weights have won in that period whilst the lowest weight carried has been 10-5.
Trainer Tom George has saddled two winners in the last six years, whilst both AP McCoy and Paddy Brennan have ridden two winners each.
Read our analysis of the fancied runners and our horse racing tips below:
Rajdhani Express 14/1
The top-weight has run some cracking races including at the Cheltenham Festival. He’s also won a handicap at Kempton off 129 but has to race off 155 here. Needs this run over 3-miles to qualify for the Grand National.
Rocky Creek 12/1
Another whose main aim is the Grand National. Never run at Kempton but has never finished worse than second in four runs going right-handed (one win). 5lb higher in the weights than his last win.
Fox Creek 6/1
Course winner who races off just 1lb higher than for that win. Loves racing right-handed and interesting stepped up to 3-miles for the first time over fences.
La Reve 9/1
Another who loves racing right-handed and won his only course start. However, he’s 21lb higher than for that win and 7lb higher than for his last win.
A strong Grand National fancy who’s run all his best races over longer trips. Looks a likely prep run for April.
The Rainbow Hunter 33/1
8lb higher than when winning the 2014 Skybet Chase and another who has the Grand National as his major target, though not without hope, and Noel Fehily is an interesting jockey booking.
Easter Day 5/1
2lb lower than when winning in 2013 and had just two runs since. Also won both his right-handed starts and looks the horse with the most potential to achieve a higher mark than his current one.
Bally Legend 16/1
Last year’s winner can run off just a 2lb higher mark than last year, and it will be no surprise should he bounce back to form.
Trained by Tom George and ridden by Paddy Brennan, he looks to have been laid out for the race. First and second on his two runs at Kempton, he’s now 7lb higher than his last win, but has a nice racing weight.
Easter Day is possibly a winner waiting to happen but I’m happy to let him pass at 5/1. Instead, I’m happy to side with two proven course winners who both look to have been laid our specifically for the race. We can back both Ballinvarrig and Bally Legend each-way and still make a profit if either gets placed.
2.5 points each-way Ballinvarrig @ 20/1 (BetBright)
2.5 points each-way Bally Legend @ 16/1 (Bet365)