Seven real interesting races from Lingfield on Good Friday with the All Weather Finals taking place. The Charlie Appleby runners are hogging favouritism in four of the races, but I can’t help thinking that their shortness in the markets opens several races up for some serious each-way punts.
One of those races is the Sprint Championship at 2.10 – and you can read our full race analysis of all the runners and our tip below:
The favourite is the one horse in the race with pretensions to be rated much higher at some point in his career, however he is yet to prove himself over course and distance. He’s won four out of four over 5-furlongs but finished only 8th of 11th on his sole start over 6-furlongs.
Chookie Royale 11/2
Run over 6-furlongs only once since July 2012 which, whilst resulting in a victory, didn’t convince that he’s suddenly turned into a top-class sprinter. May well be able to dominate this field in the early stages but it will be disappointing if one of his rivals doesn’t possess a little more pace in the closing stages.
Alben Star 6/1
Won this race at a massive 25/1 last year, but has not won in 11 attempts since. The form of the Fahey stable and the booking of Ryan Moore are big positives, but I’m worried about him getting as good a run as last year from stall one (drawn 7 last year).
Third in this last year after not get the clearest of runs; and his wide draw shouldn’t worry him too much. Finished in the first three (two wins) in all of his last five course and distance starts and has a definite squeak if they go hard enough up front.
Won three starts ago over course and distance, form which would give him a chance, but his two runs since are very off putting.
The remainder of the field are difficult to make a case for.
I’m happy to let Pretend go at 6/4 due to his lack of course and distance form, whilst I can’t help thinking that likely pace-setter Chookie Royale will be mowed down in the final furlong. Alben Star’s draw in stall one also worries me, whilst Intransigent looks to need to have to find a bit extra. With all those doubts about the principals, I’m happy to back the consistent Rivellino each-way in the belief he should he definitely be in the first three and has a definite chance of winning if the gaps appear at the right times for him.
Rivellino 1 point each-way @ 8/1 (Skybet) ¼ odds 1-2-3
For more selections from Tim, check out his Big Race Bookie Busters Service at http://www.bettinggods.com/betting-gods-tipsters/big-race-bookie-busters/